NBA Picks: Warriors To Hammer Another Nail On Cavs' Coffin

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, June 10, 2016 2:23 PM GMT

Friday, Jun. 10, 2016 2:23 PM GMT

The Golden St. Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers meet for Game 4 of the 2016 NBA Playoff Championship. The game is scheduled for a 9:00 ET tipoff at Quicken Loans Arena as televised by ABC TV.

Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Trailing 2 games to none, after losing at Oracle Arena by scores of 104-89 and 110-77, Cleveland made it clear they were not going to roll over for the series! After losing the 2015 Championship to the Warriors, Cleveland had failed in 4 efforts against the defending champs this year. In so doing, they had averaged 87 PPG, including just 83 PPG in the first 2 games of this series. Wednesday night was an entirely different animal.


Golden State Warriors
Whether it was Golden St.’s overconfidence or Cleveland’s bounce back mentality, it was all Cleveland from the jump! When the smoke cleared, the 30 point margin of victory was a function of a +20 rebound margin in a game where the Cavs had more assists and fewer TOs. JR Smith stepped up in the absence of Love adding 20 points, including 5 of 10 from behind the arc. The only downside was that the Cleveland bench was again clearly outplayed being outscored 33-15. Biggest disappointment for the Warriors was the all-star guard tandem of Thompson and Curry, who shot 10 for 26 for the game and just 4 of 16 from the arc for a combined 29 points.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers
In typical fashion, the media and public have overreacted to the Warriors’ loss and the a-typical performance by the Golden St. team Wednesday night and specifically, MVP Steph Curry, for the 3rd game in this series. But, Golden St. HC Kerr confidently affirmed that the Warriors would do a better job to free up Curry off the screens and that Steph would respond in kind with an outstanding game. For Cleveland, LeBron James repeated his mantra “it’s a do or die game for us still, we can’t afford to go down 3-1 and go into their building.” A positive for Cleveland is the probable return of Kevin Love, who missed Game 3 with concussion symptoms. Cavs’ HC Lue acknowledged that the Cavs will benefit from Love’s rebounding, his post-presence and his 3-point shooting.  

 

Conclusions
NBA home favorites continue to dominate the proceedings in these NBA Playoffs with a mind-boggling record of 38-18 ATS. Does Cleveland continue that streak, building on their momentum from Game 3, or do the Warriors bounce back, as they have so often this year? In fact, the Warriors are 13-1 SU following a defeat this year, while greater than .600 road teams (off a loss in the playoffs), in which the home team scored 115 points in the previous game are a better than 70% ATS situational play. I invite you to put the NBA odds in your favor and join me in my NBA pick on the Golden St. Warriors.  

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Free NBA Pick: Golden State Warriors +2 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage 

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