NBA Picks: Warriors With Chip On Their Shoulder To Closeout Cavaliers

Charles Stark

Monday, June 13, 2016 11:00 AM UTC

Monday, Jun. 13, 2016 11:00 AM UTC

Even with Green out for Game Five the Warriors are still a decent home favorite against the Cavaliers. Will they be able to close out Lebron, and where's the NBA Odds value?

With Green out the NBA Odds now have the Warriors as a -5.5 favorite like at Pinnacle Sports. This line dropped from 8 with the news of his absence which is not surprising considering how valuable he has been throughout the season. For my NBA pick, even with Green out, I will back the Golden State Warriors to rise to the occasion and finish the series winning by double digits.


Cleveland Cavaliers
In game four, the Cavs shot 47% from the field but only 24% from distance while only getting up 81 attempts total from the floor. The attempt total has been a factor for the most part whether or not the Cavs win or lose after Tyronn Lue took over, simply put is that when they get up about 90 attempts they are very difficult to beat but if teams can control their tempo it is a different story. 

They dominated the paint scoring wise putting in 48 points compared to the Warriors 20 but they did not win the rebound battle like they did in game three which was significant as it was locked at 54 apiece. Two of the main issues that kept them from having a real opportunity to win this game were their poor shooting from beyond the arc and really poor free throw shooting making just 15 of 26 attempts. 

The main culprits for the poor shooting from distance were Kyrie Irving and J.R. Smith going a combined 4-14 while Tristan Thompson was 0-5 from the line. This loss in totality though was the result of playing against a superior team and I just can’t back the Cavs getting the points on the road with a chance for Golden State to close it out. I believe the Cavs, after playing subpar basketball and not matching the Warriors stride for stride, know they are done.


Golden State Warriors
In game four, the Warriors shot just 41% from the floor but 47% from distance while knocking down 80% of their free throw attempts. They had a poor shooting night from beyond the arc and at the line which I mentioned in my last article so my main argument was that they are simply too good to do that two games in a row which proved to be true.

They moved the ball with 23 assists but also really made Cleveland work hard offensively allowing just 15 assists and holding them to some poor shooting from distance. Now with Green out some might think the Cavs have an outside shot at pulling the upset but surprisingly I like the Warriors even more now on the spread with his absence.

Yes he has been essential to Golden State’s run but this team is truly deep and now they have a chip on their shoulders. All stats aside and the fact they are the better team playing at home, the main thing the Cavs thought they had to worry about would be a motivated team looking to close out. For this game now they have to deal with a Warrior team that is not only motivated but a bit ticked off, Golden State by double digits.

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Free NBA Pick:  Warriors -5½ -105
Best Line Offered:  at Pinnacle
Series Record: 4-0

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