NBA Picks: Utah Jazz 2013-14 Futures Odds

Jordan Sharp

Monday, September 2, 2013 4:21 PM GMT

Monday, Sep. 2, 2013 4:21 PM GMT

Let’s take a look at what the 2013-2014 Jazz will look like, and then figure out whether or not their offseason prices will reflect their in season value.

The Jazz come into the season as one of the many likely lottery teams in the NBA, but do their NBA Future Odds reflect that? Let's review their value as sports picks for this upcoming season.

Future Odds +10000

At 100/1 and sometimes more than that, the Jazz have little chance of even making the playoffs this season. They did draft Trey Burke who is the point guard of the future in Salt Lake City, but he is likely not going to do too many spectacular things in his rookie season on what could be a very bad team.

It was an offseason of big changes and transactions for the Jazz, and none of them seemed to be winning moves. They were already faced with losing both Paul Millsap and Al Jefferson, but it got even crazier than that.

Transactions

Millsap ended up with the Hawks this offseason while Jefferson signed a big deal with the Bobcats, but even with Derrick Favors and Enes Kanter stepping up to replace them, it is going to be slow going on offense. Those two will be hard pressed to replicate the 35 points per game you could get from Millsap and Jefferson.

If losing their two best player wasn’t enough, the Jazz ended up throwing in the towel after those two left, as they ended up being the facilitator in a mega trade that helped Andre Iguodala get to the bay area this offseason.

The Jazz took on the expiring contracts of Andris Biendrins, Richard Jefferson and Brandon Rush in order for the Warriors to clear enough cap space to sign Iggy. The Jazz now have over $40 million in expiring contracts and have set themselves up to not be much on a contender this season. With a likely starting lineup of Burke, Gordon Hayward, Marvin Williams, Favors and Kanter, the Jazz could be on the bottom of the West. If that is the case, it surprises me to see so many teams behind them in the NBA Odds this offseason.

The Sharp Pick

There are 10-12 teams at each sportsbook that are tied or priced behind the Jazz this season, and there are only a select few of them that I would rank behind the Jazz at this point. The Jazz have only two players with more than just a handful of career starts, and with a rookie starting point guard, it might be slow going for this season at least.

Personally I would have the Jazz priced around +18000. Teams like the Charlotte Bobcats, Sacramento Kings and Milwaukee Bucks will all surely finish ahead of the Jazz this season, and they are priced at 400/1, and 200/1. This overvaluing and inflation could carry over into the regular season NBA odds, and if that’s the case, the Jazz could be an excellent fade this season. They are going for the bottom of the tank in order to try and secure a top NBA pick in one of the most coveted drafts in the last decade. They are playing for next season, and it could show.

Join the discussion on the upcoming 2013-14 NBA season on SBRForum's basketball message boards!

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