Spurs vs. Cavs
With Tony Parker back for the Spurs, and Anderson Varejao still out for the Cavs, the Cleveland defense stands no chance tonight. The Spurs have been undervalued all season on the road at 17-13 ATS, and this is another perfect example of the sportsbooks not giving the Spurs the benefit of the doubt. Now that San Antonio is fully healthy, they should run through the Cavs. The NBA Odds favor San Antonio at -6 ½, with a total of 203.
In their first meeting this season, San Antonio cruised to a 126-96 win back in November. That was when Varejao was healthy, and well before the Bulls traded them Luol Deng for nothing. That makes this spread almost laughable to me. Obviously anything could happen, and the Cavs might lose by two points in a tight game all the way through, but my better judgment tells me a blowout is coming.
The Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Cavs, and after winning six games in a row SU and almost convincing people they were turning things around, the Cavs have gone 2-4 SU since that streak, and they are almost destined for the lottery at this point. The Spurs have the advantage at every position tonight, and their bench should be well rested now that they don’t all have to play 30 minutes a night.
My Pick: Spurs -6 ½
Pelicans vs. Lakers
New Orleans and the Lakers both had to play late games last night, and both are likely headed into tonight’s game slightly tired. The Lakers had the longer journey from Portland, however they are still NBA Odds favorites at home tonight, with a spread of -1 ½, and a total of 210 ½
Both teams have been struggling mightily this season, especially on the defensive end. This is why I think a wager on the over might be a better choice for our NBA picks rather that trying to bet either team on the spread. At 210 ½, the total seems pretty undervalued. LA has cashed the over in eight of their 13 games on the second night of a back to back this season, and with New Orleans’ defense almost playing worse than LA’s, the Lakers should have no problem scoring the ball tonight. The Pelicans played solid on defense last night in Sacramento, but before that, they were giving up about 105 points per game in their last four.
Four of the last five times these two teams have played the total has gone over, and I see it happening again tonight. I don’t see the back-to-back hurting either team’s offense tonight, especially when it’s two teams that would rather jump in a frozen lake than play defense.
At this time of the year, totals are going to start shrinking, however I think this matchup will be an exception. Normally two teams off the back to back will play less defense, and even though the Pelicans have struggled on offense recently, a game versus the Lakers is just what they need to get right.
My Pick: OVER 210 ½[gameodds]5/257313/?r-1=19-43-349/us[/gameodds]