NBA Picks: Tuesday Night Value Plays

Joe Freda

Tuesday, May 7, 2013 12:17 PM GMT

Tuesday, May. 7, 2013 12:17 PM GMT

With two NBA Playoff games slated for tonight, where should bettors look to find the edge? Join us as we breakdown both matchups and decide where the best value lies for our NBA picks here.

Tuesday’s NBA betting card has a pair of Game 2 matchups slated, which saw the favorites in each series both fail to cash in the openers. The New York Knicks look to even their set with the Indiana Pacers, while the Oklahoma City Thunder try for a second straight win over the Memphis Grizzlies.

What are the best options for our NBA picks tonight, as the second round of the playoffs starts to heat up?

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks

Indiana led by as many as 16 points in Sunday’s 102-95 win over the Knicks, holding on for an upset as a five-point road dog. The Pacers shot 48.7 percent from the floor, while out-rebounding New York, 44-30. 

Pacers forward David West notched a team-high 20 points, with five more of his mates also reaching double figures. Indiana’s Lance Stephenson logged 13 boards and three steals, while center Roy Hibbert registered five blocks. 

New York’s Carmelo Anthony picked up his first double-double of the playoffs, finishing with 27 points and 11 boards. Knicks guard Pablo Prigioni came away with six of his side’s 15 assists, while he and his mates were outscored in paint points, 46-32. 

The affair’s 197 points leaped above the ‘total’ of 181 ½, lifting the OVER to 6-2 in the Pacers’ last eight games. Both squads combined to sink 38-of-49 free throws, while Indiana’s D.J. Augustin drained 4-of-5 buckets beyond the arc. 

The NBA odds opened New York as a 5 ½- point favorite for Tuesday’s rematch, with early Knicks wagers lifting the number a ‘hook’ to six. The ‘total’ was first listed at 185, remaining unchanged. 

I am tailing the ‘steam’ here with a ticket on the Knicks, laying the number and looking for the ‘zig-zag’ bounceback.

New York is 5-1 ATS in its last six spots that came after a defeat, while logging a 4-0 spread record in the team’s last four spots that came after giving up 100 points or more. Indiana’s octane should drop a bit from the opener, while Knicks weapons like J.R. Smith should have their chances to improve after a less than stellar Game 1. 

Pick:  New York Knicks -6 at Bookmaker

[gameodds]5/228701/43/us[/gameodds] 

Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder 

Oklahoma City erased a 12-point deficit in Sunday’s 93-91 victory over the Grizzlies, while failing to collect as a 3 ½-point home favorite. The Thunder outscored Memphis in the fourth quarter, 29-18, while connecting from the foul line at a 22-for-25 clip. 

Thunder forward Kevin Durant piled in 35 points and 15 boards, finishing with his second double-double in five games. Oklahoma City’s Serge Ibaka united with Durant for five blocks, while mate Kevin Martin notched 25 points off the bench. 

Memphis’ Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph combined for 38 points and 10 rebounds each, hitting 15-of-30 field buckets. Gasol added three steals and two blocks, while Quincy Pondexter and Jerryd Bayless united to drain 5-of-9 shots from three-point land.

The battle’s 184 points fell below the ‘total’ of 186 ½, moving the UNDER to a 9-1 mark in Oklahoma City’s last 10 games. Memphis hit a sparse 14-of-24 free throws, while edged out in boards, 43-41.

Oklahoma City was first listed as a 2 ½-point favorite for Game 2 by 5Dimes.eu, while the ‘total’ dropped to 186 after UNDER wagers drove the number south from 186 ½. Thunder forward Tayshaun Prince (10.4 PPG) is “questionable” to play after a hip injury during Sunday’s action. 

I am backing the UNDER here with my sports picks, feeling NBA oddsmakers have not adjusted downward enough between these foes. 

Memphis has held its rivals to 90.1 PPG over its last 10 road spots and will have to rely on another low-octane duel to have a chance of evening the series. Oklahoma City has seen the UNDER cash at 18-7-2 in its last 27 spots that came after a victory, with another tight battle looming here. 

Pick:  UNDER 186 at 5Dimes

[gameodds]5/228702/43/us[/gameodds]

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