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NBA Analysis: The Portland Trail Blazers (45-26, 19-17 away) travel to Orlando Magic as the hot favourites at -260 NBA odds to win outright which is a market stance that belies their current form – seven losses in their last 11 games. Bottom stragglers Orlando Magic (45-26, 19-17 away), matched at underdog odds of +215 to win outright, meanwhile have dropped nine in a row. Which side will come through tonight and which players are going to rise to the occasion?
Undoubtedly, Damian Lillard is one player that NBA bettors should spot in prop betting markets where he’s matched at Over/Under 23.5 at -120.
The point guard, whose season average sits at 21.2 points per game( a smidgen lower than his prop odds), is coming off 19 PTS and 6 AST in last night’s disappointing 91-93 defeat to Miami. Yet another defeat that followed his side’s worst effort this season – manhandled 94-124 by Charlotte at the weekend, a game in which Lillard posted 20 PTS and 4 AST.
In his last ten games Lillard has averaged 22.1 PTS per game, but the absolutely fascinating stats that practically leap off the page are those that distinguish between wins and defeats. To put it more bluntly, Lillard posts more points when his side is on the wrong side of the scoreboard – in wins his tally is 19.8 on average while in defeats his tally comes up as high as 23.6.
NBA props and picks: If the Portland Trail Blazers do indeed come through on their fancied -260 NBA odds to win outright, then according to the stats sheets, Lillard is more likely to post 20 points or under. In fact, he scored more than 23.5 points in only three of the last ten games, nine of their last 26 games. Therefore, the balance tips the scale below the allotted mark in sports betting exchanges and, thus, the recommended NBA prop pick here is Lillard to go Under 23.5 points against Orlando Magic.
Be sure to check out our NBA Value Picks for tonight's matchups.
Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA Analysis: Toronto Raptors (39-30, 18-16 away), who are on pace for a playoff spot for the first time in six years, travel to Cleveland tonight as the firm -180 favourites in NBA betting markets. The Cavaliers (27-44, 15-20 home) meanwhile are enjoying contrasting fortunes, likely to give the postseason a skip for the fourth season in a row unless something miraculous were to happen down the stretch. Predictably, they are the +160 underdogs tonight against the Raptors.
That said, Jarrett Jack is after a standout, season high 31-point effort in his side’s victory 106-100 victory over New York at the weekend while Dion Waiters finished with 22 points and Luol Deng posted 13 points. If this triplet could combine against the Raptors, it could make for a fascinating Eastern Conference tussle. Sportsbooks tip Dion Waiters at Over/Under 19.5 at -120 NBA odds and Luol Deng at Over 14.5 at -140 NBA odds while tipping the Under 14.5 at +100.
Toronto has won both meetings this season so the balance tips in their favour for good reason. What’s more DeMar DeRozan scored 33 points in the Raptors’ 99-93 win in Cleveland last month. DeRozan is being matched at Over/Under 23.5 at -120.
NBA Props and picks: The recommended NBA prop bets here are plenty. First of all, we quite fancy Deng to go Under 14.5 at +100 on our recommended NBA picks. The weekend affair in New York was his first game back after missing three in a row with an ankle injury so form is still up in the air despite his commendable output against NY. What’s more, in the last meeting with Toronto, Deng accounted for just 8 points (his season average sits at 16.6 points per game). More likely than not, he should come just under the benchmark of 14.5 set for this game.As well, we fancy DeMar DeRozan, who averages 22.8 points per game this season, to go over 23.5 at -120 NBA betting odds with Bet365. DeRozan’s average in the month of March sits at exactly 23.5 points per game and in three of the last five games his posted 29 or more points (went as high as 33 points against OKC, mind).