NBA Picks: Trust Grizzlies Defense To Dominate Rockets On Tuesday

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, January 12, 2016 3:17 PM GMT

The Rockets have strung together three consecutive victories, while the Grizzlies have notched a pair of wins in their last two. Let’s see which side to back in our NBA picks tonight.

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Free NBA Pick: Memphis -1½
Best Line Offered: at YouWager

 

Houston Rockets (19-19 SU, 15-23 ATS)
Houston appears to be getting their footing after a disappointing first half of the season. The Rockets have won three in a row and covered what the NBA odds makers were hanging in two of those three victories. The most recent triumph occurred Sunday night at the expense of the Indiana Pacers as Houston rewarded all those who backed the Rockets as two-point home favorites in their NBA picks. It wasn’t easy and it took a herculean fourth quarter from the Rockets just to send the game into overtime as they were behind by 13 headed into the final frame before they notched 107-103 overtime win. Trevor Ariza scored a season-high 24 in the come-from-behind victory.

Dwight Howard suited up for Houston’s tilt against Indiana after his status was questionable due to back issues that have been plaguing the All-Star center. He looked none worse for the wear dropping 21 points and hauling in 17 boards in nearly 43 minutes of action. It was his fifth consecutive double-double. Point guard Ty Lawson did not play due to his three game suspension following a guilty plea to a DUI back in July. Lawson will sit tonight’s game out to finish out his suspension and return to action tomorrow evening when the Rockets host the Timberwolves.

 

Memphis Grizzlies (21-18 SU, 18-20-1 ATS)
'We just have to keep playing and keep grinding,' says Zach Randolph. After the Grizzlies recent effort against the Boston Celtics that quote sums the Grizzlies up perfectly. Memphis was down by 21 points midway through the third quarter to the Celtics on Sunday night when the Grizzlies snapped to it and notched their biggest comeback win of the season with a 101-98 decision on the road. Zach Randolph contributed 25 points and 13 boards off the bench to lead all Memphis scorers while teammate Marc Gasol and Tony Allen had 11 and 10 rebounds respectively. The Grizzlies ended the game with 58 rebounds which were a season high for the team.

Randolph is flourishing in his new bench role bucketing at least 20 points in his last three games. But this team is built on defense and Memphis currently ranks 7th in the league in points allowed, surrendering an average of 98.5 per game. However, over their last seven games in which they have won and covered five the Grizzlies have limited the opposition to just 92.9 PPG. In addition, Memphis trails only Boston in forced turnovers averaging 16.3 per game.

 

Betting Analysis
This is the third of four meetings between the clubs with Memphis winning and covering the spread on both occasions back in November. It was the first meeting between the two teams that was played in Memphis in which the Grizzlies, installed as 2½ point home chalk, came away with a 96-84 decision. Five days later, Houston hosted Memphis, but the results were similar as the Grizzlies notched a 102-93 win as 4½ point road dogs.

In a stat that may mean little to nothing the Grizzlies are 5-1 both straight up and ATS in Tuesday games while the Rockets are 0-3 straight up and ATS on that day. Though Memphis is 13-6 straight up at home their ATS home record is much more pedestrian at 9-10. Houston has not taken kindly to the highway this season going 7-10 straight up and 6-11 against the number.

Memphis’s point guard Mike Conley is still questionable for tonight’s game after missing his last three games with a sore left Achilles; yet, Mario Chalmers has filled the void admirably averaging 17.7 points per game in his absence. Whether Conley plays or not, I like the way Memphis has played lockdown defense over their past several games and Randolph has seen a resurgence since coming off the bench. Moreover, Dwight Howard of Houston is a concern having logged 43 minutes in his last contest while the Timberwolves loom tomorrow night. Expect Memphis to continue their domination of the Rockets on Tuesday night.