NBA Picks: Trail Blazers vs. Warriors

Joe Freda

Saturday, March 30, 2013 12:18 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 30, 2013 12:18 PM GMT

Will the octane stay low for these rivals or is this a spot for ‘total’ players to go the other way with their NBA picks? Let's have a look at how the books have lined out the betting odds.

The Golden State Warriors have held foes to 92.3 PPG in their last six matchups, with the UNDER cashing at 5-1. Saturday’s NBA betting has Mark Jackson’s club hosting the Portland Trail Blazers, who have been held to 95.2 PPG in their four most recent road contests.

Blazers, Hickson blow lead at home

Portland finds itself in the second night of a back-to-back spot, following Friday’s 105-95 defeat as 1 ½-point home ‘chalk’ to the Utah Jazz. The Blazers saw a 14-point lead erased, allowing 50 percent field shooting en route to being outscored in the second half, 63-43.

Blazers rookie Damian Lillard notched a team-high 24 points, while adding seven of his side’s 22 assists. Portland’s J.J. Hickson logged his fourth double-double in nine games, finishing with 17 points and 14 boards.

The contest’s combined 200 points leaped OVER the NBA odds ‘total’ of 197. Portland’s Wesley Matthews and Nicolas Batum united to drain 5-of-8 buckets from three-point land, while the Blazers were edged out in paint points, 62-40.

Warriors, Lee fall to Kings

Golden State has been idle since Wednesday’s 105-98 defeat to the Sacramento Kings, upset as a nine-point home favorite. The Warriors connected from the floor at a 45.6 percent clip, while allowing Sacramento to drill 11-of-28 shots beyond the arc.

Warriors forward David Lee put up 20 points, while logging 10 boards for a sixth straight double-double. Golden State’s Stephen Curry finished with 17 points and 12 assists, with four of his squad’s nine steals added in 46 minutes of action.

The battle’s combined 203 points dipped UNDER the ‘total’ of 213 ½, while Curry and Co. sank 11-of-13 free throws. Warriors guard Klay Thompson was held to a 1-for-13 night of field shooting, while mate Andrew Bogut logged all four of his squad’s blocks.

Back the OVER in Oakland

Saturday’s tip is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. (ET), making it the evening’s NBA finale. Portland’s LaMarcus Aldridge (21 PPG) is expected to miss the affair, continuing to nurse an ankle injury that kept him out of Friday’s defeat.

I am adding the OVER to my night of sports picks, despite the absence of Aldridge, looking for both sides to find the rims here. January’s most recent duel between these foes saw OVER backers collect, with Golden State hitting 47.7 percent of its floor shots in a 103-97 home win. 

Curry and Lee united for 46 points on that occasion for the Warriors, while Portland’s Damian Lillard lit up Oracle Arena’s floor for 37 points. The Blazers have allowed a sizable 48 percent field shooting on the road, while Golden State has hit three-point buckets at a 40.3 percent clip on its floor.

[gameodds]5/223380/43-19-1096/us[/gameodds]

The OVER is 13-3-1 in Portland’s last 17 spots that came after a defeat, while going 11-4 in the team’s last 15 battles with Western Conference rivals. Look for the OVER to collect again here, adding another cashed ticket to the wager’s 2-1 mark in the last three meetings between these foes in Oakland.

Free Pick: OVER at Sports Bet

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