NBA Picks: Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, January 15, 2013 1:25 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 15, 2013 1:25 PM GMT

The Denver Nuggets will look to push their win streak to six games Tuesday night, as they host the Portland Trail Blazers at the Pepsi Center. Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for this Western Conference affair.


Losing streak

Portland has lost back-to-back games since putting together a four-game win streak earlier in the month, as it tries to bounce back from an 87-83 setback to the Oklahoma City Thunder as four-point home underdogs Sunday. The Trail Blazers haven’t shot above 38 percent in their last three contests, which could present some major problems versus an opponent that hits 46.8 percent of its shots at home.

It’s still important to note that the franchise is 4-0-1 against the spread (ATS) following a straight-up loss in its last five opportunities.

Fourth quarter magic

Denver has won a season-high five games in a row, including a 116-105 victory over the Golden State Warriors as 6.5-point home favorites Sunday, while going OVER the total for the third time in four contests. The Nuggets have outscored their opponents by an average of 9.8 points in the final 12 minutes of play during their win streak, which is something to consider when making your sports picks.

It could certainly be the difference in this affair—with the Trail Blazers receiving just 16.9 points per game from their bench.

Aldridge is back

LaMarcus Aldridge didn’t play in the first meeting in this series on Dec. 20, but the Trail Blazers still came away with a 101-93 win as six-point home underdogs, while going UNDER the posted total of 200.5. He currently leads the team in averaging 20.5 points per game, which includes a season-best 33 points on 15 of 26 shooting last time out. Aldridge averaged 20.7 points, 7.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists in three games versus the Nuggets during the 2011-12 NBA season.

Host has dominated

Sports bettors should definitely take a long look at the Nuggets on the betting odds page, considering the home team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings in this series, with just one of the past six being decided by less than 10 points. Denver is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games versus Portland when playing in the thin air of the Mile High City.

[gameodds]5/134289/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Nuggets as one of their NBA picks against the spread Tuesday, as the Nuggets are 4-0 ATS when playing the front end of a back-to-back at home, while the Blazers are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 trips to Denver.

NBA Pick: Denver Nuggets -8.5

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