NBA Picks & Total Plays of the Night: Bet Under Despite Low Odds

Joe Catalano

Monday, February 9, 2015 4:55 PM GMT

With the exception of a couple of late West Coast games, NBA odds makers expect some low scoring games tonight. A couple of totals really stand out I'd like to bring it to the bettor's attention.

Los Angeles Clippers (33-19) vs. Dallas Mavericks (35-18) 
No Blake, No Win
I caught the Clippers-Thunder game on national television yesterday and it's very clear that without Blake Griffin, the Los Angeles Clippers aren't a complete team and will be losing a good amount of games as he deals with surgery from bursitis.

Spencer Hawes, who was a very solid option on the 76'ers, will now fill in for Griffin and Hawes came up big against OKC, but it wasn't enough to stop Kevin Durant. The only thing that I didn't expect was the Clippers inability to stop Mitch McGary. McGary was a player on Michigan's Final Four team a couple of years back and up until yesterday, had only 3 points on the season. The Clippers allowed McGary to walk all over their defense while rubbing their faces in it while scoring 19 points and 10 rebounds.

We all know that CP3's defense is 2nd to none, but the Clippers as a whole, will need to put forth a better effort or this game will go over the total very quickly solely off of the offense of the Dallas Mavericks and team leader Monta Ellis. 

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off of a 111-101 victory in overtime Saturday over the Portland Trail Blazers and this is a Mavericks team that can rack up the points. Dallas is 2nd in the NBA, scoring 106.9 points per game. I have a feeling that this game could possibly get out of hand in favor of Dallas, leaving plenty of garbage time and poor play in the 4th quarter as the starters for both teams may possibly sit out the 4th quarter.

I know that Dallas has a strong offense, but the Clippers looked terrible without Griffin and the betting total is simply too high. Take the under as your NBA betting pick for this matchup.

NBA Pick: Under 210 at 5 Dimes

 

New York Knicks (10-41) vs. Miami Heat (21-29)
Knicks Are a D-League Team
You look at the New York Knicks starters and they're unrecognizable as many have been traded, allowing room for the salary cap for next year and others have went down with injuries. Carmelo Anthony is one of those players that has been hampered with knee issues and commentators on television have been harsh critics in calling Melo out and saying that he should be playing.

A lot of these Knicks players are playing for jobs and are hungry, but the talent level is simply not there. It also doesn't hurt them that if they keep losing, they'll be eligible and have a better chance at getting Jahlil Okafor.

 

Should Carmelo Be Playing?
My question is where will the offense come from without Carmelo Anthony? Players such as Jason Smith and Langston Galloway are hungry and it make the Knicks games more entertaining, but they can't compete with the Dwayne Wades and Chris Boshs of the NBA.

Miami has also discovered a new hidden talent in the form of Hassan Whiteside. Whiteside is the equivalent to Dennis Rodman, but with a better offensive game. A week and a half back, Whiteside set a record with 14 rebounds in just the first 6 minutes of a game. Miami has found something very special and something to take the attention off of Lebron James possibly making it back to the NBA Finals.

The total is very low in this game, but you have a Heat team that averages a mere 92.4 points per game facing a Knicks team of unknowns. The under is the play and I suggest that you change the channel as this will be a snoozefest.

NBA Pick: Under 184 at 5 Dimes