NBA Picks: Top Player Props to Increase Thursday's Profits

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, April 2, 2015 4:42 PM GMT

Thursday is usually one of the slowest days of the NBA with the TNT doubleheader & that's the case tonight with only 3 games on the schedule. Here's our player prop picks from each matchup.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Props:
Goran Dragic 'Over/Under' 23.5 Points + Assists

Hassan Whiteside O/U 20 Points + Rebounds

LeBron James O/U 26.5 Points Or 14.5 Rebounds + Assists

If the playoffs started today, this would be the best first-round playoff matchup in the East and obviously that would be spectacular to see LeBron go against his former club -- although it loses a little bit of luster with Chris Bosh out for the season. I imagine this game means a fair amount to LeBron because the Heat lead the season series 2-1 and James probably doesn't want buddy Dwyane Wade to have season bragging rights. The Cavs also put their 16-game home winning streak on the line and they have been just crushing people at the Q in that stretch. There are no props for Wade, Kevin Love or Kyrie Irving as of this writing because all three are questionable. Dragic has played one game against the Cavs since his trade to Miami and had 20 points and nine assists in the Heat's 106-92 home win on March 16. However, in his past seven games he hasn't had more than seven assists and has topped 20 points just once. Whiteside, who just returned from a three-game injury absence, is averaging 11.0 points and 9.3 rebounds in three games against the Cavs this season. LeBron is averaging 24.7 points, 6.3 assists and 5.0 rebounds vs. the Heat.

NBA Free Picks: Wait on Wade's status for Dragic. If Wade plays, then go 'under' Dragic for this NBA pick. Go 'over' on Whiteside because I don't think Love plays and that means more rebound opportunities. LeBron should have a monster night if Love and Irving both sit. Even if they play, clearly they aren't 100 percent. Go 'over' both for James, who probably also wants to have a huge game to quiet the "controversy" that James calls most of the team's plays and not Coach David Blatt.

 

Rockets vs. Mavericks Props:
James Harden 'Over/Under' 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Dirk Nowitzki O/U 16.5 Points

Tyson Chandler O/U 20.5 Points + Rebounds

Rajon Rondo O/U 22 Points + Rebounds + Assists

I previewed this game at SBR and took the couple of points on Houston because Dwight Howard is expected to play after sitting out Wednesday's win over Sacramento. It's also the second of a back-to-back for Dallas as it won a wild 135-131 game in Oklahoma City on Wednesday. A victory would temporarily give Houston the Southwest Division lead and sole possession of the No. 2 seed in the West over Memphis (off Thursday). All eyes will be on Harden here to see if he can have a second straight 50-point game after he put up a career-high 51 against the Kings. The only other Rockets with two 50-point games in their careers are Hakeem Olajuwon, Moses Malone and Elvin Hayes and they never did it in the same season. Harden has averaged 25.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5.7 assists vs. Dallas this year, playing all three games without Howard in the lineup. Dirk is averaging just 12.3 points vs. Houston. Chandler is averaging 10.3 points and 14.0 rebounds, but remember he didn't have to deal with Howard. Rondo has not put up good numbers in three games vs. the Rockets but one game was while with Boston. Rondo is playing well right now with back-to-back double-doubles.

NBA Free Picks: 'Over' on Harden, under on Nowitzki and Chandler, 'over' on Rondo.

 

Suns vs. Warriors Props:
Eric Bledsoe 'Over/Under' 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Steph Curry O/U 24 Points

What Will Curry Do First: Make or Miss 3-Pointer?

Could this be a trap game for Golden State, despite its 10-game winning streak, off a very emotional comeback win over the hated Clippers in Los Angeles on Tuesday night? The Suns are teetering on the brink of playoff elimination and will play without center Alex Len (broken nose) and most likely guard Brandon Knight (heel). Thus it's tough to see NBA odds double digit underdog Phoenix pull the upset tonight, although Bledsoe could be line for a big game as he may have to carry the scoring load. He is averaging 14.7 points, 3.0 assists and 1.7 rebounds vs. Golden State. Because this game means nothing to the Warriors, I'm presuming Coach Steve Kerr doesn't play Curry a ton of minutes.  Curry averages 29.7 points against the Suns.

NBA Free Picks: 'Over' on Bledsoe and Curry, and for Curry to miss his first 3-pointer. Curry is a sharp-shooter but hits 43.4 percent from long range so simple math tells you he's more likely to miss.