NBA Picks: Tonight's Value Plays

Darin Zank

Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:05 PM GMT

With plenty to choose from on Tuesday's NBA betting board here's our take on three games, with free picks against the pointspreads for your consideration.

Indiana -8 vs. Golden State (7 pm ET)

A couple of seemingly playoff-bound teams meet when the Pacers host the Warriors.

Indiana has won four games in a row, after taking back-to-back games from Detroit over the weekend, holding the Pistons to 82 and 72 points. So the Pacers own the second seed in the Eastern Conference at the moment.

Indidna leads the league in FG defense, holding foes to 41 percent shooting.

The Pacers also got good news recently with the return of F Danny Granger, who had missed the entire season after having knee surgery.

Golden State, meanwhile, has won three straight, after losing six in a row. The Warriors knocked off Phoenix and San Antonio at home, then came back from an early 16-point deficit to win at Minnesota Sunday 100-99. So Golden State, at 33-23, owns the six seed in the West.

Read capper Jeff Grant's NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Pacers for another take on this matchup.

Indiana swept two games from Golden State last year, but in the first meeting between these two teams this season the Warriors beat the Pacers at home 103-92 back on Dec. 1. David West and George Hill combined to shoot 16-for-28 from the floor that night, as GS covered the spread as five-point favorites.

As for Tuesday's game, the Pacers definitely play some solid defense, but Golden State has enough options on offense to keep this one close.

NBA Pick: Take the Warriors at the +8 points offered at 5Dimes.

[gameodds]5/219512/43/us[/gameodds]

Chicago -6.5 vs. Cleveland (8 pm ET)

We head to Cleveland with the second of our free picks this evening, where the Derrick Rose-less Bulls, who have lost six of their last nine games, look to get back on a better track when they host the Cavs.

Sunday Chicago shot just 29 percent from the floor in losing at Oklahoma City 102-72.  

So the Bulls, at 32-24, own the six seed in the East at the moment. 

Cleveland had won back-to-back games last week until falling at Miami Sunday 109-105. The Cavs had rallied from 22 points down in the third quarter to take an eight-point lead vs. the Heat, but got outscored 20-8 down the stretch to lose.

So the Cavs, at 18-38, won't make the playoffs this season; they're just looking to build for the future. 

Chicago has beaten Cleveland 11 times in a row, including three times already this season. The Bulls shot a scorching 64 percent from the floor in beating the Cavs 115-86 back on Nov. 2; then shot 47 percent in a 95-85 victory Dec. 5; then shot 54 percent in beating Cleveland 118-92 Jan. 7. Chicago also covered the NBA odds in all three of those games.

Chicago is just 7-21 ATS at home this season, while Cleveland is 17-12 ATS on the road. But those sound like two numbers that should trend back toward even as this season progresses.

The Bulls are a bit banged up with both Kirk Hinrich and Taj Gibson dealing with injuries. But in looking for a rebound effort after Sunday's debacle, Chicago should shoot a little better than 29 percent Tuesday night. 

NBA Pick: Take the Bulls at the -6.5 points offered at Pinnacle. 

[gameodds]5/219514/43/us[/gameodds]

Dallas –5.5 vs. Milwaukee (8:30 pm ET) 

For the final of our NBA picks, we head to Milwaukee where the Bucks, a bit snake-bit as of late, hope to reverse their recent fortunes when they pay a visit on the Mavericks. 

Milwaukee seemed fairly comfortable on its way toward a playoff berth a few weeks ago, but has suddenly lost seven of its last eight games. Last week the Bucks lost back-to-back games to Brooklyn, one in overtime, the other by three points, then gave up a late lead and lost to Atlanta 103-102.

At 26-28 Milwaukee still clings to the eight seed in the East, leading ninth-place Philly by four games. 

The Bucks hope they addressed a weakness when they traded for sharpshooter JJ Redick last week. In his first game with his new team the former Dukie scored 16 points.

Dallas, meanwhile, struggled without Dirk Nowitzki early this season, but with the big German back in action the Mavs have won five of their last seven. 

For a free play on the total, check out our NBA Picks: Bucks vs. Mavericks article.

So Dallas, at 25-30, sits in 11th place in the West, 4.5 games behind eighth-place Houston.

Milwaukee, over the course of the last couple of seasons, seems to be one of those teams that loses games it should win, and wins some games that it shouldn't. With that in mind, and despite their recent struggles, we wouldn't be surprised if the Bucks pull an upset in Big D Tuesday night.

NBA Pick: Take Milwaukee at the +5.5 points offered at Matchbook.

[gameodds]5/219516/43/us[/gameodds]