NBA Picks: Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, April 17, 2013 12:40 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 17, 2013 12:40 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for tonight's Western Conference affair between the Spurs and Timberwolves. Where does the best value lie for our NBA picks tonight?


The San Antonio Spurs have won 16 consecutive games at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves over a span of nine seasons, as the two teams prepare to finish out the 2012-13 NBA regular season Wednesday night.

Take a look at our daily NBA Odds & Betting Lines report.

Another losing season 

Minnesota has recorded its winningest season since Kevin Garnett’s departure to the Boston Celtics in 2007, but the team has been ravaged by injuries from the outset, as star forward Kevin Love will miss his 54th game Wednesday. 

The Timberwolves have won four of their last 10 games, but they’ll look to bounce back from a 96-80 setback to the Utah Jazz as 4.5-point home underdogs Monday, while going UNDER the total for a second consecutive contest. 

During the second half of the season, the team has produced a 13-26 straight up (SU) and 18-20-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record, with the UNDER going 22-17 in that situation. 

Heading to the playoffs 

San Antonio has lost six of its last nine games, but is locked into the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference standings, as it prepares to take on either the Golden State Warriors or Houston Rockets in the first round of the 2013 NBA playoffs. 

The Spurs have gone 21-12 SU and 12-21 ATS during the second half of the 2012-13 campaign, with the UNDER going 20-13 in those affairs. 

Home-court advantage 

NBA handicappers are going to have a hard time not backing the Spurs when looking over the NBA odds, considering they’ve won 16 consecutive games in this series when playing in the Lone Star State, while the host is on a 5-1 ATS run overall. 

San Antonio has won and covered the spread in two of three meetings this season, including a 106-88 victory as 12.5-point home favorites on Jan. 13, while going UNDER the betting total of 199. 

Bouncing back 

There’s no doubt that Minnesota has demonstrated some fight during the month of April, as it has compiled a 4-5 SUATS record, while it has gone 15-5-1 ATS following a SU loss in its last 21 opportunities in that situation. 

I’m not sure that San Antonio is going to be able to flip the switch in this spot—even if coach Gregg Popovich suggests that all capable and healthy players will see action in the regular season finale.

[gameodds]5/224977/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

With no point spread or total currently available in the market, I’m going to suggest that readers back the Timberwolves with their NBA picks in this spot, as they’ve covered the spread in five of their last seven road games. 

Free NBA Picks:  Minnesota Timberwolves
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