Damian Lillard (Portland Blazers)
NBA Prop Betting Analysis: Sportsbooks are offering Damian Lillard at Over 21.5 at -140 and Under 21.5 at +100 in tonight’s clash between Portland and Atlanta. The Power Forward, who’s enjoying a solid year averaging 21.1 points a game, is coming off a somewhat contained output in Portland’s 85-95 loss to Orlando on Tuesday, where he accounted for just 17 points and 2 assists and where he was matched at Over/Under 23.5 points at Bet365. (Incidentally, coming through on our NBA prop pick to go Under).
Portland have now lost three on the trot and in each of those losses Lillard has accounted for 20 points or less. In fact, he’s been on a bit of a decreasing scale going 20, 19 and 17 in his last three appearances. What’s more, his average in the last five games sits at 19.8 points. If this trend holds true against Atlanta tonight, Lillard to go Under 21.5 at +100 would prove the savvy NBA Pick.
Jeff Teague (Atlanta Hawks)
NBA Prop Betting Analysis: Jeff Teague was surprisingly pointless in Atlanta’s 83-107 blowout by Minnesota last night, despite playing 19 minutes. It was the first time the Point Guard went pointless this season, a highly unexpected performance when his previous eight consecutive appearances saw him post double figures.
Not only did Teague fail to come through on our recommended NBA Prop pick to go Over 19.5 at -120 he also had his average point tally in the last five games slip down to 18.6. The upshot: he enters the clash with Portland Blazers at Over/Under 16.5 points. Given the flak he’s probably on the receiving end of right about now, Teague should deposit a much better account against the Portland Blazers. By that we mean score some points. Although given the quality of Portland, he might struggle to go Over 16.5 points so take the Under 16.5 points at -120, which puts him right around his season average of 16.1 points per game mind.
Take a look at SBR's NBA Prop Bet Directory
Paul Mislap (Atlanta Hawks)
NBA Prop Betting Analysis: Paul Mislap happily delivered on our NBA Picks last night to go Under 19.5 at +100. From the start that point mark seemed to high for Mislap given his average on the season is 17.8 and his average in his last five appearances stands at 17.4. Curiously, he’s still matched at rather high 18.5 points at Bet365. Though he’s accomplished the mark in three of his last four games, he might struggle to do so against Portland Blazers who play a tight game. Take the Under 18.5 on Mislap at -120 with Bet365.
Nowitzki is coming off 32 points and 10 rebounds
in Tuesday’s 128-119 win over Oklahoma City. The Power Forward, who averages
21.4 points per game this season, is a large part why the Dallas Mavericks are
still in the playoff picture. In his last five games he’s averaged 21.8 points
and four of his last five games saw him go 19 points or higher. The only
wrinkle on his recent output was a 10-point deposit in Dallas’ 104-107 defeat
to Brooklyn at the weekend, despite playing 38 minutes. Nowitzki is matched at
Over 21.5 at -140 at Bet365 and Under 21.5 at +100. It’s conceivable that after
an incredible 32-point effort two nights ago, he would suffer a bit of a
letdown. However, with a spot in the playoffs on the line, the Mavericks will
need a big night from the seasoned veteran so take the Over 21.5 at -140 on your NBA prop picks.
Dirk Nowitzki (Dallas Maverick)
NBA Prop Betting Analysis: Veteran Power Forward Dirk Nowitzki is hoping to lead his Dallas Mavericks into the playoffs this season. At the moment, the Mavericks are sitting just outside a playoff spot but they are level on games won with Memphis and Phoenix.