Nets vs. Heat Game 2
Brooklyn looked worn down in Game 1 of this series. Their defense had no life, and they were struggling with the Heat in transition. A seven game series against a tough opponent in the first round will do that, and the NBA Odds are even higher than they were in Game 1. The Heat are an eight-point favorite, with a total of 192 points.
Brooklyn should come back tonight and play a much tougher game, especially on the defensive end. There are going to be times when this team struggles to score, and although that might continue tonight, I think they could dish out some struggles on Miami tonight. They didn’t beat them four straight times in the regular season for nothing.
Although I down play that a lot, the Nets are slightly undervalued here. I mentioned tonight might be a good night to lay the points, however I think the total is a much more valuable wager. At 192, the NBA Odds of this game being a lower scoring one are good. The first meeting barely went over the total and it was a blowout with the Heat scoring 107 points. Even with Game 1 going over, two of their last three meetings have gone under, and five of their last six meetings in Miami have also gone under the total.
My Pick: UNDER 192
Blazers vs. Spurs Game 2
Even though I picked the Blazers to win this series, I am immediately regretting it after that Game 1. I hope I can chalk up the Blazers’ play in Game 1 to the nerves of being on the big stage for the first time, and even though I haven’t given up hope, Portland needs to get a win before going back home for me to feel better. Tonight the Blazers are +6 ½ underdogs in the NBA Odds, with a total of 207.
Although I am tempted to take points with the Blazers just like I am tempted in the Heat and Nets series, I once again see the total as a better value. We cashed the over in Game 1 by a nose, but a win is a win. I am not sold on either team’s defensive ability, and while I’m expecting the Blazers to play better on offense, I also don’t think they’ll be holding the Spurs to under 100 either.
Including the first game of this series, three of the five times the Blazers and Spurs played this season the total has gone over, and I see it going there again before heading back to Portland. The Spurs are now 6-2 cashing the over in the postseason, and after starting 2-2, they have cashed the over in their last four playoff games.
For the Blazers, after cashing the under two straight times against the Rockets to end that series, the Blazers won our over wager in Game 1, and have now cashed the over in eight of their last ten games dating back to the regular season. Both teams have way too many quality options to go to on any given possession, and that makes it very hard to game plan defensively. LaMarcus Aldridge should have another big game, but I expect him to get some help too this time around. Take the over.
My Pick: OVER 207