NBA Picks: Thursday Playoff Picks & Predictions

Joe Freda

Thursday, May 16, 2013 12:34 PM GMT

Thursday, May. 16, 2013 12:34 PM GMT

With only two NBA Playoff game's slated for tonight, where should bettors look to find the edge? Join us as we breakdown both matchups and decide where the best value lies for our NBA picks here.

Thursday’s NBA betting card has venues shifting again as conference semifinal action could come to a close for two clubs. The New York Knicks try to stay alive at home against the Indiana Pacers, while the San Antonio Spurs head west in hopes of ousting the Golden State Warriors.

Let’s breakdown the odds and decide how we can make some money with our NBA picks in each of tonight's games.

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers 

Indiana took its 3-1 series lead with Tuesday’s 93-82 victory as a five-point home favorite. The Pacers held New York to 35.6 percent field shooting, while outrebounding the Knicks by a 54-36 margin. 

Pacers guard George Hill piled in 26 points, while mates David West and Paul George united for 24 boards. New York’s Tyson Chandler finished with 12 points and 10 rebounds for his first double-double of the series, with Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony hitting 9-of-23 floor buckets en route to 24 points.

The contest’s combined 175 points ducked below the ‘total’ of 179 ½, moving the UNDER to 2-1-1 in the set’s four matchups. Indiana led by as many as 18 points, while New York sank 12-of-14 free throws. 

NBA odds opened New York as a 4 ½-point home favorite in its must-win Game 5. The ‘total’ was first set at 179, remaining unchanged after mixed action. 

I am laying the points here and looking for the Knicks to extend the series for another matchup. New York’s home win in Game 2 moved Mike Woodson’s club to 12-4 ATS in its last 16 dates at Madison Square Garden, while the Knicks have a 6-2 spread record in their last eight spots that followed defeats. 

Indiana dropped to 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games with the Game 2 setback and should face even more intensity down the stretch this time with New York facing elimination. The favorite has cashed the last three tickets in this set, going 5-1 ATS over the most recent six meetings between these rivals. 

Pick:  New York Knicks -4.5 at Bet365

[gameodds]5/228765/43/us[/gameodds]

San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors 

San Antonio connected from the floor at a 51.9 percent clip in Tuesday’s 109-91 triumph, taking a 3-2 series lead. The Spurs drilled 10-of-21 buckets from three-point land, collecting as seven-point home ‘chalk.’ 

Spurs guard Tony Parker came away with team-highs of 25 points and 10 assists, while forward Tim Duncan grabbed 11 aboards. Golden State’s Stephen Curry was held to a 4-for-14 night of field shots en route to logging eight of his side’s 18 assists. 

The duel’s combined 200 points jumped beyond the ‘total’ of 195, ending a 3-0 UNDER run in the series’ last trio of matchups. San Antonio outscored Golden State in the paint, 44-40, while Warriors mates Harrison Barnes and Jarrett Jack united for 45 points. 

The Spurs opened as one-point road favorites at William Hill for Thursday’s contest, while the ‘total’ was first posted at 195 ½. 

I am adding Golden State to my free picks in this spot, liking the chances of Curry and Co. to stay alive here. The Warriors are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games that followed a defeat, including a 5-0 spread record in spots after setbacks of 10 points of more. 

San Antonio has gone 5-13 ATS in its last 18 duels played with one day of rest, while tending to be overvalued after victories with a 3-10 spread record in its next game. Look for the Spurs to come up short here, setting up this weekend’s Game 7 finale. 

Pick:  Golden State +1 at William Hill

[gameodds]5/236281/43/us[/gameodds]

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