NBA Picks: Thursday Playoff Picks & Predictions

Joe Freda

Thursday, May 2, 2013 11:59 AM GMT

Thursday’s NBA Playoffs card has a pair of Game 6 matchups slated, with oddsmakers listing both as close contests. Where should NBA bettors look for value tonight?

The Chicago Bulls return home to try closing out their series with the Brooklyn Nets, while the Denver Nuggets head west against the Golden State Warriors.

Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls

Brooklyn ended a string of three straight losses with Monday’s 110-91 victory over the Bulls, cashing as a 6 ½-point home favorite. The Nets shot 50 percent from the field, outscoring Chicago in the fourth quarter, 33-18.

Nets center Brook Lopez notched 28 points and 10 boards, with his squad outrebounding Chicago, 44-33. Brooklyn’s Deron Williams logged 10 assists, while mate Gerald Wallace recorded two blocks. 

Chicago saw its top scoring from guard Nate Robinson, who hit 9-of-19 field buckets en route to 20 points. The 10-year veteran added a team-high eight assists, while forward Carlos Boozer grabbed 10 boards. 

The battle’s combined 201 points jumped above the ‘total’ of 180 ½, moving the OVER to 3-2 in the series. Brooklyn sank 20-of-23 free throws, while edging the Bulls in paint points, 54-42. 

The NBA odds makers at 5Dimes.eu opened Chicago as two-point home ‘chalk’ for Game 6, with early wagers on Brooklyn dropping the number to 1 ½. The ‘total’ was first set at 184, holding steady on most boards. 

I am adding the UNDER to my NBA picks here, looking for the rivals to play a tight tempo. Chicago has seen the UNDER cash at 9-3 in its last 12 spots that came after defeats of more than 10 points. 

Prior to the past two matchups, Game 3 in Chicago saw both clubs held to below 40 percent shooting. Look for the octane to drop back to these levels in Thursday’s affair. 

NBA Pick:  UNDER 184 at 5Dimes

[gameodds]5/228360/43/us[/gameodds]

Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors

Denver held on for Tuesday’s 107-100 victory over Golden State, while failing a ‘hook’ shy of collecting as a 7 ½-point home favorite. The Nuggets led by as many as 22 points, while outscored in the second half, 54-41. 

Nuggets guard Andre Iguodala registered team-highs of 25 points and 12 boards, while five of his mates also scored in double figures. Denver’s Ty Lawson and Wilson Chandler united to drain 7-of-15 shots beyond the arc, finishing with 19 points each.

Golden State’s Stephen Curry was held to 15 points in a 1-for-7 outing from three-point land, while adding eight assists. Warriors forwards Jarrett Jack and Harrison Barnes combined for 15 boards, while center Andrew Bogut logged two of his side’s nine blocks. 

The duel’s 207 points ducked UNDER the ‘total’ of 211, ending a stretch of OVER tickets from the series’ last three games. Denver outrebounded the Warriors, 46-42, while outscoring Golden State in paint points, 50-24. 

Bookmaker.eu first listed Golden State as a one-point home favorite, while posting the ‘total’ at 211.

For the second of my free picks, I am laying the short number with Golden State, continuing to tail the Warriors’ hot 8-0 ATS run. The Warriors have also cashed with an 8-3 spread record in their last 11 spots as a favorite, while fueled to close out this set at home after a heated Game 5. 

Denver is 1-3 ATS in this year’s four road meetings with Golden State, allowing 108 PPG. Look for the Nuggets to come up short again here, despite the must-win spot for them. 

NBA Pick:  Golden State Warriors -1 at Bookmaker 

[gameodds]5/228361/43/us[/gameodds]