NBA Picks: Thursday Night Parlay

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, January 30, 2014 1:55 PM GMT

With only three games on tap tonight in the NBA, we have to be cautious selecting our NBA Picks, however I think two of the three games have excellent NBA Odds value. In order to extract that value, let’s parlay our two picks together tonight to add to our bankrolls for tomorrow’s card.

Be sure to check out: NBA Picks: Picks of the Day for Thursday

Suns vs. Pacers

Phoenix beat down the Pacers a week ago in the desert, and now they have to travel into Indianapolis to play the Pacers. The NBA Odds have the Suns at +10, with a total of 199, and it is almost certainly because Phoenix is worn down. They played last night in Milwaukee, and despite getting a good (but probably a little tougher than they would have liked after building a huge lead in the 1st half) win, this will be the Suns’ third game in four nights.

With tired legs, there is no way they will be able to compete with Indiana tonight, especially with the Pacers probably having revenge on the brain. There will not be 124 points tonight for either team, especially the Suns. Indiana gives up a league low 83 points per game when playing at home, and their record against the West at home is even better.

The Pacers are 6-0 ATS and SU when playing a Western Conference opponent at home this season, and with the tired Suns coming in, their should be a seventh win in both columns after tonight. While ten points may seem like a lot, it shouldn’t be too much for a pissed off Pacers team at home. The online sportsbooks want you to take points with the Suns. After last night, Phoenix is a league best 30-14-1 ATS and by now the public has caught on. However Indiana is the 2nd best ATS team in the NBA this season, and I see them getting the win and cover.

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Clippers vs. Warriors

The Clippers also had to play last night, and they find themselves on the road this evening in Oakland to play the Warriors. The NBA Odds have Golden State as a -5 ½ favorite tonight, with a total of 212. Like our friends from above, the Suns, the Clippers are also playing their third game in four nights. However instead of fading them ATS, I think the total for this one has much more value for our parlay.

Los Angeles is 7-4 cashing the over this season on the second night of a back to back, and they are also very good at cashing the over after a win SU. The Clippers are 18-13 this season cashing the over after a win.

The first two meetings between these two clubs went over this season as well, and the average total was 225 points. At 212 tonight, I think there is excellent NBA Odds value. The last seven times these two teams have met the total has gone over, as well as eight of their last nine matchups overall.

The Clippers have been on a scoring frenzy recently, averaging nearly 112 points per game. While they may not get that may tonight, they don’t’ need to for the over to have value. They will surely be giving up some points on the road playing their third in four nights, and I expect the Warriors to have a floor of 110 against them. Add the over to your NBA Picks and parlay.

My Pick: OVER 212

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