There are only three games on this evening, and even though the odds aren’t tearing at the seams with value, I still think I have found the two best bets for tonight’s two nationally televised games.
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Although this is a road game for the Knicks, it might as well be a home game. Especially with the way the Nets are playing this season, the Barclays Center should be crawling with Knicks fans, also despite how they are playing. The crap-fest game tonight between the New York teams has the Nets as -1 favorites in the NBA odds, with a total of 189 ½. The spread is likely a wash, however the total looks like a pretty good play.
While the New York Knicks are struggling to score, their defense has not been much better. New York is giving up around 99 points per game this season, and although that’s good for 9th in the NBA right now, that’s not great. Their road scoring woes have been a big reason for their struggles also, however tonight is not a real road game, and going up against the Nets should solve some of the issues.
The Knicks are only scoring around 90 points per game this season when on the road, however even at home, the Nets’ defense has been bad. They are giving up right around 102 points per game this season at home and overall, and at home nine of their last 13 games have gone over the total.
Even though the Knicks are only 1-7 this season cashing the over on the road, this game should be different like I mentioned above. The total may be undervaluing the potential of both these teams, and I think we need to take the Over to take advantage.
The Heat lost their most recent game to the Pistons, and after that loss, Miami has to travel into Chicago to play the Bulls. The Heat are -5 road favorites in the NBA odds, with a total of 189. While the total is a no-go for me, the spread seems to have some value here. Even though I am almost certainly tailing the public here, I see the Heat being the wager here.
There will of course be no Derrick Rose in this game and no Jimmy Butler as well. The latter player being out is going to help the Heat cover this game for sure. Dwyane Wade sat out the Heat’s loss to the Pistons, but he should be back and ready for this game in his old hometown. Without Butler to check him, Wade should have a great game, and I expect his performance to be enough to cover against the Bulls.
Miami is 5-0 SU in their last five meetings with the Bulls including the playoffs, and they are 4-1 ATS in that stretch. The Heat are also 3-1 ATS in their last four trips to the United Center in Chicago.
Along with not playing well against the Heat recently, the Bulls have not been a great bet at home, either this season or in the trends. If you count last season’s playoffs, the Bulls are only 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games, and since 2012, the Bulls are an NBA-worst, 17-35 ATS playing at home. Look for the Heat to win and cover.
My Pick: 2-team parlay: NYK vs. BKN OVER 189 ½ & Heat -5