NBA Picks Of The Evening: Focusing on Over/Under Odds & Analysis

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, November 22, 2015 6:40 PM GMT

There are two Western Conference games to cap off this week of NBA action, and they both have intriguing NBA Odds. I have NBA picks on both of their totals tonight that hold a ton of odds value.

Warriors vs. Nuggets
The NBA Odds makers have the Nuggets as double-digit road underdogs tonight against the defending champions, but the total is where I am heading for tonight’s first play. At 213 ½, it is by far the biggest total of the night, but it also has the best chance to go over of almost all of the games. These two teams played once already this season in Oakland, and the Warriors dominated the game as expected. However, the Nuggets didn’t have a bad night offensively, as the total easily went over.

Tonight, these two teams should be on the path to another high-scoring game, and probably another Warriors win. The last three times these two teams have faced off against one another, the total has gone over, and in those three games, the average final combined score was 233 points. With the Warriors averaging nearly 115 points per game this season, I see very little chance that they dip below that average here tonight. Despite the altitude in Denver, Golden State will still be able to run their up tempo, and fast paced offense, and the Nuggets might get a slight boost because of the home court advantage. I see these two going over for the fourth straight time, and for the second time in two weeks.

NBA Pick: Warriors & Nuggets OVER 213 (-110) at Bovada

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Blazers vs. Lakers
The final game of the evening tips off from Staples Center at 9:30 eastern tonight, as the Lakers play host to the Blazers. The NBA Odds have the Blazers as slight -2 road favorites in this one, with a total of 202 ½. Both of these teams will likely be in the lottery by the time we get to April, but despite that they both have some distinct advantages on the offensive end against one another. The Blazers’ two guards have been a match made in basketball heaven this season, and going up against Kobe Bryant and young, D’Angelo Russell, the Blazers dynamic back court should have little issues getting their shots off and getting to the basket.

The Lakers on the other hand have the home court advantage behind them. While they have only cashed the over at 2-3 this season at home, the Blazers are 5-3 cashing the over on the road, and they have been a great value betting the over for the last few weeks. Portland is 8-3 cashing the over in their last 11 games. With the Lakers giving up more than 105 points per game, I’m looking for a final score of about 107-103 in this one. The Lakers’ big men should both have good games in this one as well, and even though it’s probably hard for Lakers fans to watch Russell struggle while watching Kristaps Porzingis look like the Rookie of the Year in New York, the Lakers rookie had a career high 17 points in his last game, so he might be finally starting to figure the NBA game out. If that’s the case, it gives even more merit to the over.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers & Lakers OVER 202 ½  (-106) at 5Dimes

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