NBA Picks of the Day: Your Best Bets to Close Out a Winning Weekend

Steven Suarez

Sunday, November 8, 2015 4:59 PM GMT

It's a small slate of games on Sunday, with most of the attention on the NFL, but we can still do our due diligence and try to beat the books with our NBA picks of the day.

Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors
In what could very well turn out to be a preview of a playoff matchup, Dwyane Wade and the Heat will welcome Kyle Lowry, DeMar DeRozan and the Raptors to South Beach this evening.

Looking closely over the NBA Odds, we find Miami is a small 2.5-point favorite across the top sportsbooks, while there's a rather low total of 190 on the board.

The maddening inconsistency has continued for the Heat, as they've alternated wins and losses through their first six games and thus can be found with a 3-3 record ahead of this home date with Toronto. Miami was last in action on Friday in a close 90-87 road loss to Indiana, with the Heat unable to slow down Paul George from doing whatever he wanted offensively.

As for the Raptors, they've enjoyed a terrific 5-1 start to their season; they've beaten Indiana, Boston, Milwaukee, Dallas and Oklahoma City (with the wins over the Mavericks, Thunder and Celtics coming on the road), and their one loss came at Orlando the other night. Despite that recent setback, Toronto should be very confident in their chances of notching a victory in South Beach. The tandem of Lowry (18.8 PPG, 5.8 APG, 4.8 RPG) and DeRozan (22.3 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 3.8 APG) has been as good as ever, and the two should pose problems for Wade and Goran Dragic here.

That being said, we're not going as far as to put our backing in Toronto, as we believe this is a good spot for Miami to pick up the win and ATS cover. The Heat have excelled defensively (allowing 95.0 points a game, fifth-best mark in the NBA) and they're one of the few teams in the East that can match the Raptors talent-wise. Throw in home-court advantage, and we'l lbe rolling with Miami to get the job done.

NBA Pick: Miami Heat -2.5 at 5Dimes

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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons
Our next pick comes in the matchup between Portland and Detroit. 

The odds are extremely tight here, with the Trail Blazers favored by either 1.5 or 2 points depending on where you look. The total is at 198 points.

Portland has done better than many expected following the exodus that took place over the offseason, when they lost four of their five starters. However, Damian Lillard has been outstanding (27.3 PPG and 6.7 APG), and new starting shooting guard C.J. McCollum has thrived in his new role, averaging 22.2 points per game while shooting an impressive 46.2 percent from beyond the arc. The likes of Al-Farouq Aminu and Mason Plumlee have also played well for Portland so far.

The Pistons have performed even better, surprisingly enough. They've won four of their first five contests, with the sole loss at home versus Indiana. Reggie Jackson has picked up right where he left off, putting up 19.8 PPG, 5.8 APG and 4.6 RPG, Marcus Morris has become an integral part of the starting five since moving over from Phoenix, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (14.6 PPG) has done good things too. However, it's Andre Drummond that's beem most dominant -- he's averaging 18.6 points and 19.0 rebounds ahead of tonight's road game, and should have another big game against a suspect Portland frontcourt.

We expect this one to come down to the wire, but we do like the value on the Pistons, who are getting a lot of love from the oddsmakers here too. Detroit is off to a hot start, and we don't see how the Trail Blazers will be able to slow down Drummond, who's been an absolute monster game in and game out so far.

With our NBA Picks, we're on the Pistons to squeak out the cover against the spread.

NBA Pick: Detroit Pistons +2 at Bovada

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