NBA Picks Of The Day: Two Valuable Gems Hidden In Short Slate

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, April 7, 2016 2:20 PM GMT

We nailed all three of our NBA Picks on Wednesday, and we even nailed our best prop pick as well. Now we head into Thursday’s short slate with some big playoff implication games on tap.

Timberwolves vs. Kings
While this game is the only one on the slate that means absolutely nothing when it comes to the playoffs, it may have some of the best NBA odds value of them all. The Kings come into this one as -4 ½ favorites versus Minnesota, but the total of 221 points is where I am looking at here tonight.

The Kings have already said that DeMarcus Cousins will only play at home, so while I fully expect him to play in this game, Rudy Gay sat out the other night for the Kings’ last home game, and with Sacramento half trying to tank to avoid losing their pick, make sure you double check everyone’s statuses before locking in any wagers.

That being said, the total of 221 is the highest of any game tonight, and it still may be too low when it’s all said and done. The Kings and Wolves play about as much defense as I play with Barbie dolls, and tonight may show that once again. In their last meeting against one another just a few weeks ago, the final score ended at 113-104, and I think we see an even higher scoring game tonight with the Kings playing at home.

The Kings are giving up over 109 points per game this season, and they give up about that much at home too. The Wolves are giving up 107 points per game on the road this season, ad while the Wolves haven’t been too consistent cashing the over as of late, the Kings come into this one cashing the over in three of their last four overall, and in four of their last six home games. However, the Wolves have also cashed the over in four of their last five road games.

The Kings play at the fastest pace of any team in the league this season at 102.2, and while the Wolves play in the bottom half of the league in pace, when they play on the road, their pace goes up above 98, which ranks them 14th among road teams this season.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883636, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,92,238,169,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NBA Pick: OVER 221
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Spurs vs. Warriors
While the Wolves and Kings should have very few people watching tonight, the Spurs and Dubs will have everyone watching, and it should be a nice playoff preview for hopefully the Western Conference Finals. The Spurs come in as +7 ½ road underdogs in this one, with a total of 210 points. I am half cheering for the Warriors to break the record. However, this line is going in the wrong direction, and the Spurs are once again being undervalued.

A report yesterday claimed that the Spurs were not going to rest any starters, and why would they? They have another game against the Dubs in a few days, and if they win tonight, they can guarantee that the Warriors cannot break the Bulls’ record, and they can only tie it. San Antonio is coming off a win against the Warriors last month in San Antonio, and coming off a loss, the Dubs should play a lot better defense, which has eluded them recently.

If Golden State can bring their defense and slow this game down, it only favors the Spurs taking the points, This game should have a playoff feel to it, and those games tend to go under and be closer. I think people are taking San Antonio’s January blowout loss to the Dubs way too seriously. Tonight should be different, especially considering the Dubs have been awful ATS at home recently Golden State is only 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games, and while San Antonio hasn’t been great ATS on the road, my NBA pick and gut feeling is they will get their first cover as an underdog tonight.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883637, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,92,238,169,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NBA Pick: Spurs +7 ½ 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage