NBA Picks of the Day: Tuesday's Betting Duo Worth Grabbing

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, January 19, 2016 2:55 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 19, 2016 2:55 PM GMT

MLK Day was not so kind to our NBA Picks, and with the dog days of January in full effect, the NBA Odds are getting harder and harder to predict. However, I’m dusting myself off from yesterday.

Wolves vs. Pelicans
The Pelicans might be better off to just pack it in and forget about this season and just hope they can get a high enough pick to pair another star caliber player alongside Anthony Davis. The Pelicans have been the biggest disappointment of any NBA team this season in my opinion, and whether or not they make a trade at the deadline is almost a mute point by now. They are still only 4.5 games back of a playoff spot with over half the season to go, so while there is still the possibility of going on a run, they are not as good as most of, if not all the teams ahead of them.

One of the teams behind them though is the Wolves, who have the excuse of just being a really young team with no experience. Their two best players are 20 years old and will be a force to reckon with in a couple of years, but for now they are simply learning behind veterans like Kevin Garnett and Tayshaun Prince. However, the Pelicans lack this veteran leadership and poise, which could be one of the reasons they have faltered. They don’t have two veterans that have won titles (Sure they have Kendrick Perkins, but he was nowhere near the caliber player that Garnett and Prince were) and been to multiple NBA Finals, and while this game is at home for the Pels, I think the Wolves are actually a pretty solid value.

The NBA Odds have the Pelicans as -5 favorites in this one, and with the possibility that Tyreke Evans could miss this game, I think the sportsbooks have this one dead wrong. Evans hasn’t fit well in New Orleans, but he is also one of their only other solid scoring options behind Davis and Jrue Holiday. If he misses, the Wolves will simply pack the paint against Davis and force the guards to beat them. With no one to defend Wiggins either, the Wolves could easily cover and/or win this one outright.

The Pelicans have been awful at home going 6-11 ATS, while the Wolves have been one of the more consistent road teams this season against the number at 12-7 ATS on the road. Neither one of these teams plays much defense, but at least the Wolves are big enough down low to defend the rim. With the Wolves playing solidly on the road against their conference at 6-3 ATS this season, and with the Pelicans dropping their last four in a row at home ATS, I am taking the points as the NBA pick.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883086, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NBA Pick: Wolves +5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Pacers vs. Suns
Here we go again with the Pacers on the road against the West. We had the Pacers nailed for some profit two nights ago when they had a double digit lead against the Nuggets that they quickly blew, and now they are on the road against Phoenix, a team that on paper should be an easy win. However, as I stated above, this is January, and beating teams on paper and on the court seem to be two very different things recently.

The NBA Odds have the Pacers as solid -7 favorites on the road in this one, and while the spread has jumped up from -5 where it opened, I have learned my lesson with Indiana on the road. Instead, I am going with a bet on the total of 208 ½, because while it is one of the larger totals of the night, it also has a nice chance to go over.

The Pacers defense has gone in ebbs and flows this season. They are good one minute and horrific the next, and a lot of it has to do with their lack of rim protection. Ian Mahinmi missed the Pacers last game against the Nuggets and it showed with Denver getting to the rim at will, and while the Suns are not even close to as good as Denver, the Suns should have little trouble scoring the ball tonight, especially if Mahinmi sits again.

The Pacers this season are giving up less than 100 points per game, however, in their last five games the Pacers have allowed their opponents to score an average of 111 points per game. In 17 games against Western Conference teams this season, the Pacers have allowed an average of 105 points per game, and while the Suns have trouble scoring some, their defense is not immune to giving up a ton of points as well.

The over has now cashed in four of the last five games for the Pacers thanks to their tanking defense, and it’s cashed in four of the last five for the Suns as well. With the Suns giving up at least 116 points in their last three games, take the over in this one.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883088, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NBA Pick: OVER 208½ 
Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

comment here