NBA Picks of the Day: Trio of Spectacular Plays Against the Spread

Jason Lake

Sunday, March 22, 2015 11:39 AM GMT

As part of Sunday's loaded betting slate in the NBA, we shed light on a few matches. Miami Heat has caught our attention, as they're back in the saddle & face the Thunder, who've been shredding the odds, too.

Jason’s record as of Mar. 20: 55-49-4 ATS, 5-9 Totals, minus-1.00 units ML
 

This is not your typical NBA Sunday. With March Madness in full swing, none of the 11 games on the slate is going to be on national television. So they’ve tweaked the schedule – no early afternoon games, and not much going on late in the evening. You can almost hear the tumbleweeds tumbling through the NBA betting market. But we’re going to jump in anyway with three choice basketball picks, starting with the hot, hot Miami Heat.

 

Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (3:00 p.m. ET)
It’s amazing what good health can do for you. The Heat (32-36 SU, 31-33-4 ATS) haven’t enjoyed a lot of it this year, but right now, the lineup is as close to full as it’s going to get. Miami has won three straight games SU and ATS; Dwyane Wade (22.7 PER) is playing some of his best basketball of the season, Goran Dragic (22.1 PER) has lit it up on offense, and Hassan Whiteside (26.2 PER) is still working miracles on defense. That’s a Big Three right there, sort of.

The Thunder (39-30 SU, 34-33-2 ATS) are not experiencing good health at the moment. They managed to mess up our NBA picks by shooting the lights out in Friday’s 123-115 win over the Atlanta Hawks (OVER 210.5), but we don’t think Dion Waiters (9.3 PER, minus-2.8 OBPM) is likely to score 26 points again. Also, Nick Collison (11.5 PER, plus-1.2 DBPM) has joined the injury parade – he’s reportedly out for 10 days or more with a sprained left ankle.

Free NBA Pick: Take the Heat

 

San Antonio Spurs vs. Atlanta Hawks (3:00 p.m. ET)
We were so unimpressed with the Hawks (53-16 SU, 43-25-1 ATS) that we weren’t willing to fade the Thunder with Friday's NBA picks, and at least in that aspect, we were on the ball. Without Kyle Korver (14.9 PER, plus-3.3 OBPM) in the lineup, they still put up some serious numbers against OKC, but it took Pero Antic (9.3 PER, minus-1.3 OBPM) scoring 22 points and Dennis Schroder (15.1 PER, minus-0.9 OBPM) adding another 21 points to keep Atlanta in the game. They must have been smoking whatever Waiters was smoking.

The Spurs (43-25 SU, 31-35-2 ATS) are making a serious playoff push at 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. They don’t always heat up like this going into the postseason, but with the Western Conference as wide open as it is, the defending champions can’t afford to coast. Manu Ginobili (16.5 PER) is their only injury concern at this point, and even he might be back in action Sunday. Ride the snake.

Free NBA Pick: Take the Spurs as NBA odds underdogs

 

Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings(6:00 p.m. ET)
Of today’s three basketball picks, we like this one the most. The Wizards (40-29 SU, 28-40-1 ATS) are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games with Bradley Beal (13.7 PER, plus-0.6 OBPM) back in the lineup; they paid off for us last week against the Utah Jazz, and they nearly did it again Friday night against the L.A. Clippers (–7 at home) before they ran out of gas in a 113-99 loss.

We hope you’ve been fading those wacky Sacramento Kings (23-45 SU, 26-40-2 ATS) the past couple of months. There were some early glimpses of promise after George Karl was hired as their head coach, but it was quickly back to business as usual. Sacramento is 2-8 SU and ATS in its past 10, and now DeMarcus Cousins (24.8 PER) has missed a pair of games with a strained right calf. He’s questionable to face the Wizards. The Kings split the cash in Cousins’ absence – maybe this will unclog things a bit and let Sacto play that freewheeling style Karl and the front office prefer. But we’ll take our chances.

Free NBA Pick: Take the Wizards -3.5 at Pinnacle Sports