NBA Picks Of The Day: Scoreboards To Light Up In The West

Jordan Sharp

Friday, April 1, 2016 2:41 PM GMT

 the NBA Odds are stacked with value again tonight, and I have two premium NBA Picks here for you today.  

Celtics vs. Warriors
The Celtics and Warriors hook up tonight in a very important game for both teams. The Warriors are chasing history and get a chance to try and win their 69th game of the season against the Celtics. Even more than that, the Warriors have a chance to secure the number one overall seed some more with a win tonight with the Spurs idle.

The Celtics on the other hand are fighting for home court advantage in the playoffs, and after playing last night in Portland and losing to the Blazers, the Celtics are in need of a win.

However, the NBA Odds have the spread at -12 in favor of the Warriors. While that is not an impossible line to overcome for them, it’s not a line I am willing to take a chance on for either team. The Celtics coming off the back to back concern me some too, but even though the total is very high for this one at 221 ½, it could be an excellent value.

With the Celtics coming off the back to back this season, they are 10-7 cashing the under, however, recently they have cashed the over in three of their last four games off no rest since the All Star Break.

Even more important is the distinction between games played at home on no rest compared to road games. This season Boston is 5-4 cashing the over when playing on the road on no rest, and in their last four back to backs dating after the All Star Break, Boston is scoring an average of more than 110 points per game, and giving up close to 118 points per game.

In their first game this season, the Warriors and Celtics easily cashed the over with a final score of 124-119. With Boston coming off the back to back, and as long as Jae Crowder is able to play tonight, take the over on the NBA odds boards.

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Free NBA Pick: Over 222
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Wizards vs. Suns
Another potentially high-scoring game tonight is the Wizards heading into Phoenix to play the Suns. The NBA Odds have Washington was -7 road favorites in this one, with a total of 214 points. While I am tempted to take the points in this one, with the Suns inconsistency, the over seems like a much better play.

These two teams rank inside the top five in pace this season, and while Washington’s Defensive Rating has improved this season after a bad start, the Suns rank 4th-worst in DRtg this year, giving up 109.5 points per 100 possessions. With both of these teams playing close to paces of 100 possessions per 48 minutes, 214 points is simply too low for their game against each other tonight.

On the road this season, the Wizards are giving up over 105 points per game, and in their last five games overall, Washington has given up 113 points per game. The Suns haven’t been much better at home. They have given up 106 points per game at home this season, and over 110 points per game in their last five overall.

Washington has now cashed the over at 22-15 on the road this season, and these two teams are combined to cash the over at 29-24-3 in non-conference games this season. This is a definite NBA pick for me. 

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Free NBA Pick: Over 213.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes