NBA Picks of the Day: Pair of Locks Over the Odds Total

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, March 28, 2015 12:55 PM GMT

While there are less than half the games from last night, we have still found solid betting value in the available NBA odds. Find out which games stand out to us for our basketball picks.

Warriors vs. Bucks
The Warriors dominated the Grizzlies on the road last night in Fed-Ex Forum, which completely destroyed one of my NBA Picks last night. The Warriors are only a win away tonight from wrapping up the number one overall seed, and the NBA Odds have them as a -5 favorite against the Bucks, with a total of 199 ½. Even though the Bucks are rested, the Warriors have a great shot at wrapping up the number one seed here, the question is however, will everyone be playing for Golden State?

It has already been announced that Andre Iguodala will not play in this game and will be rested, and we could hear about a few more players later in the afternoon. The Warriors have stated publically that no one else will be rested, but it would not surprise me if that is just talk.

However my NBA pick for this game doesn’t revolve around the spread, it’s on the total. The over looks like a solid play for this one, and I am taking it here on Saturday night. On the second night of a back to back, the Warriors have been very good this season going 11-5-1 ATS, however they are also 10-7 cashing the over on the second night of a back to back. The over is also 4-1 in the Bucks last five games, and the over is 7-2 in the Warriors last nine games. Take it tonight with this lower total.

NBA Pick: OVER 199 ½

 

Thunder vs. Jazz
Oklahoma City got the night off last night however the Jazz did not. They got beat down in Denver last night, and now they face a much tougher task of trying to stop Russell Westbrook who is coming to town. The NBA Odds have the Jazz as +5 home dogs in this one, but once again with some uncertainties with some players in this game, I am going with a play on the total of 196 ½.

The Jazz have two guys questionable right now for this game, which could really impact them. Derrick Favors and Rodney Hood are both questionable for this one, and especially with the former, their status might affect the outcome of this one. Favors was in foul trouble last night and didn’t play very much, however if he is unable to go, it’s going to put a big hole in the Jazz offense and defense.

If that happens, the over could once again be a good play, because as good as he is defensively, Rudy Gobert is not good enough to slow down the Westbrook attack by himself. The Thunder will single him out and try to get him into foul trouble, and it could increase the scoring in this one.

The Jazz will be tired form their game last night, and even though they are only 7-10 cashing the over on the second night of a back to back, they have cashed the over in their last four games in a row, and they are 5-2 cashing the over in their last seven games as home NBA odds underdogs between +5 and +10 ½. The Thunder have cashed the over in their last nine road games in a row, and overall they are 18-7-1 cashing the over in their last 26 games.

NBA Pick: OVER 197 at 5Dimes