NBA Picks of the Day: Monday's Money-Makers Focus on Betting the Total

Jordan Sharp

Monday, March 2, 2015 1:42 PM GMT

It’s a short card of NBA Odds on Monday night, but despite there being only five games on this evening, there should still be some NBA Odds value. Follow along as I release two more of my free NBA Picks of the day!

Raptors vs. Sixers
The Raptors should be kicked out of the playoffs if the can’t secure their awful division. One of those easy division teams welcomes in the Raptors tonight, as the Sixers are +8 ½ underdogs in tonight's NBA Odds, with a total of 193 points. While both sides of this spread seem pretty risky, the total gives us some nice value if you want to bet the over tonight. The Raptors have had little trouble scoring on the Sixers this season. With the exception of the most recent game before the All Star Break, the Raptors have gotten into triple figures against the Sixers twice this season.

On top of all of this, the over has cashed in four of the last six for the Sixers, as their defense is starting to slowly fade away after it showed up for about a month. Also the Sixers have cashed the over in four of their last five games following a SU loss. The Raptors on the other hand are 17-7 cashing the over in their last 24 games as favorites between -5 and -10 ½, and in their last ten road games against losing home teams, the over is 8-2. I expect the Raptors to get well into the 100-point range tonight, even on the road. The over is 16-5 for Toronto in their last 21 games as road favorites.

NBA Pick: OVER 193 at 5Dimes

 

Warriors vs. Nets
Golden State hasn’t been running over people after the All Star Break. They are only 3-2 SU in their last five games since lowing to the Pacers. Last night's game against the Boston Celtics resulted in a win 106-101 and tonight they have a tougher than expected matchup against the Brooklyn Nets. Right now the NBA Odds also have the Warriors as a road favorite of -5, with a total of 207 points. However once again I am a bit more focused on the total instead of the sharp spread. At 207, the total has dropped three full points from where it opened overnight at 210, and if that isn’t an indicator to take the under, maybe these two team’s recent trends might be what takes the cake.

The under is 8-3 in the Nets last 11 games overall, and it’s cashed in five games in a row for the Nets against teams with winning percentages above 60%. On top of that, the under is 5-2 in the Nets last seven games following an ATS win. The Warriors have cashed the under in eight of their last nine games overall, and the under is 7-1 in their last eight road games. The under is also 6-0 for Golden State following a SU win, and it’s 5-0 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their prior game. Look for a slower paced game from the Nets in order to keep the Warriors at bay, and if the Nets can control the pace of this one, I expect them to keep the score lower. Take the under and add it to your NBA Picks!

NBA Pick: UNDER 207