NBA Picks of the Day: High Profits When Playing These Odds Favorites

Jordan Sharp

Monday, November 23, 2015 5:55 PM GMT

After a nice night of profitable NBA picks on a Sunday evening, I am back once again with my two best bets for the Monday slate of NBA games.

Knicks vs. Heat
I mentioned at the beginning of the season that I thought the Knicks would be slightly undervalued heading into this season, and so far they have not disappointed. The Knicks are off to a 10-4 ATS start for all of the New York faithful, and they have gone undefeated ATS on the road so far this season at 7-0 ATS. However, the Knicks hype is starting to catch up to them during this four-game winning streak. People are starting to take notice that New York might be a playoff team this season, and everyone has heard about the Knicks’ prized rookie, Kristaps Porzingis, who has gone from getting booed on draft night to selling out the league in jersey sales. Knicks fans, if you booed Porzingis on draft night before watching him play, go jump off the Brooklyn bridge.

Tonight the Knicks run into a tough defensive team in the Heat, and I don’t see either Porzingis, or Carmelo Anthony getting much done on the road in South Beach. The Heat are one of the better defensive teams in the NBA right now, giving up only 92 points per game, and they have also covered their last six games in a row against the Knicks. Obviously those games were the Lebron James era in Miami, but half of them the Knicks were a good team too. I see the Knicks’ small winning streak both SU and on the road ATS both ending tonight, so lay the -5 with the Heat and add it to your NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Heat -5 at Bovada

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Suns vs. Spurs
The Suns have been a nice surprise this season, however, they are coming off a game last night and into tonight, which is their first back to back of the season. It couldn’t come against a worse team either, because the Spurs have been outstanding this season, and are looking to keep pace with the Warriors, who are running away with the West’s top seed again. The NBA odds have the Spurs as -8 ½ favorites at most shops, with some coming in at -9, and a total of 197 ½. With this being the Suns’ first back to back of the season, they might struggle some against such a good defensive team. The Spurs are giving up only 91.5 points per game to start this season, and despite the injury to LaMarcus Aldridge, I see the Spurs covering.

If Aldridge doesn’t play, it obviously hurts this play just a little bit, but I don’t think it kills it if he has to sit this one out. The Suns play faster and smaller, and the Spurs having two big men in the game might give the Suns an advantage. San Antonio will want to slow this one down to their pace if possible, but even if they get into a track meet without Aldridge, the Spurs have the personnel to matchup with Phoenix. Boris Diaw should be able to slow down the newly healthy, Markieff Morris, and while the Suns definitely have the advantage in the backcourt, Danny Green and Kahwi Leonard should be able to cross-match on the two Suns guards and slow them down enough to get a double-digit win. Phoenix is only 1-4 SU in their last five games against the Spurs, so lay the points once again this evening.

NBA Pick: Spurs -9 at TheGreek

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