NBA Picks of the Day: Friday's Best Plays Over & Under the Total

Jordan Sharp

Friday, February 6, 2015 4:13 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 6, 2015 4:13 PM UTC

We got beat up on a short-slated Thursday last night, but have no fear because there is a much wider selection of NBA Odds tonight. I've found two more that look like great adds to my NBA Picks tonight.

Sixers vs. Celtics
Once again we have the Sixers playing a bad team tonight, and their chances of getting another win seem pretty good tonight. Despite being on the road, the Sixers are only +7 underdogs against the Celtics, with the NBA odds total of 194. This spread has gone down two whole points since it opened last night, but even though I’m tempted to take points here, I can’t trust the Sixers to cover. However I can trust them to score tonight against a weak Celtics defense, and with a total of only 194, the over looks like a great play tonight. 

The over is 12-3-1 in Boston’s last 16 games as a home favorite, and the over has cashed in their last five games in a row against teams with winning percentages below 40%. Overall the over is 19-9-1 in the Celtics last 29 home games, and 5-1-1 in their last seven home games against losing teams.

While the Sixers haven’t been great at cashing the over this season, it’s mainly been because of their recent surge in defense. Philly has only given up 91 points per game in their last seven games, but the issue of their offense has been pretty bad. However in their last seven games against losing teams, the Sixers have scored a respectable 94 points per game. They have also topped 100 points in their last two games against losing teams, scoring 105 and 103 against the Nuggets and Wolves respectfully. Now against the fast paced Celtics, the Sixers and Boston should run up the score enough to cash this over.

NBA Pick: OVER 193 at Pinnacle

We share another NBA pick on the total sure to hit: Lakers vs. Magic

Bucks vs. Rockets
Our system from Sports Insights betting the under between winning teams with a total in between 196.5 and 204 has won three of its’ last four picks, and while it’s been trending downward so far this season, it still might be a great NBA pick between the Bucks and Rockets tonight. The NBA Odds have the Rockets as -6 favorites, with a total of 202 ½. The Rockets are coming off a nice win against the Bulls, and after some rest at home, they should be able to bring their defense tonight, even without Dwight Howard.

There is no word on Ersan Ilyasova or Zaza Pachulia for the Bucks, and with how Jason Kidd and the Bucks have been handling injuries recently, I would not be surprised if we don’t find out their statuses until 30 minutes or less before tonight’s tip. Either way though, the Bucks have some capable defenders to throw at James Harden, and while he’ll still get his, it might be a lower scoring game overall.

The under is 18-7 in the Rockets last 25 home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five games as favorites. The under is also 14-5 for the Rockets in their last 19 games as home favorites. For the Bucks, the under has cashed in 15 of their last 20 games and eight of their last 11 road games. The under is also 7-0 for the Bucks in their last seven against winning teams, and it’s 5-2 in their last seven as road underdogs. 

NBA Pick: UNDER 202 ½  

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