NBA Picks Of The Day: Don't Pass Up On Spurs -7 1H vs. Grizzlies

Friday, April 22, 2016 1:11 PM GMT

We split another pair of NBA Picks on Thursday, so hopefully you followed on the right one. Friday’s slate has some decisive games on the slate, and I am back to release my two best picks.

Spurs vs. Grizzlies
The Spurs are on their way to making quick work of the banged up Grizzlies. However, they have to beat up on the Grizzlies two straight times in Memphis, and Game 3 starts tonight at the Fed Ex Forum. The NBA Odds have the Spurs as -11 ½ favorites on the road tonight, with a total of 181 ½. While Memphis has been beat down in San Antonio this series, the change of venue should do them some good. San Antonio’s defense is not quite as good when they go on the road, and I have a feeling that we have finally hit rock bottom when it comes to the total of this one.

That being said, we are already starting to see the total go up in this one, and I think we need to follow suit and go with the over. However, I am placing one of my best bets tonight on the first half total of 85 points. Even though the first two games of this series have been incredibly low scoring, the first halves have actually seen somewhat high scores for this series. The first two games have had total combined scores of 84 and 85 points, and now that the series is shifting to Memphis, I think we see an even higher first half tonight.

San Antonio is still the best Defensive Rated team on the road compared to at home, but their points allowed per 100 possessions goes up nearly two points to 98.3 when they played on the road this season. Compare that to the Grizzlies, who had one of the worst ORtgs on the road this season at 99.7, but they number jumped to 105.4 when they played at home this regular season. Count on some better offense from Memphis, and back the over in the first half as your NBA pick.

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Free NBA Pick: OVER 85 1H
Best Line Offered: at YouWager

 

Teaser Pick
Because I like the total for the Spurs so much, I am going back to the well with my teaser for this game, and I am going with a bet on the Spurs teased down, as well as the over on this one. The NBA odds we can get for the Spurs at -7 in a teaser are too good to pass up tonight, even though this game is in Memphis, and teasing the total down to 177 ½ is a bargain for this one.

Heading into the stretch run of the regular season, the Spurs had some bad defensive games on the road. In three of their last six games on the road they gave up at least 100 points, and while Memphis probably isn’t going to get to 100 points tonight, they could easily get to 90, and that will be enough to cash the over on tonight’s game.

The same thing goes for Memphis, who scored an average of 102 points per game in their final seven home games, and even though one of those were against vastly inferior opponents compared to the Spurs, it shows that this team plays a lot better, and even a little faster at home. While it won’t help them get to cover their teaser threshold tonight, it will make this a little higher scoring game.

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Free NBA Pick: 2 Team Teaser: Spurs -7 1H & OVER 177 ½ 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage