NBA Picks of the Day: Against the Spread & Over/Under Total for Clippers vs. Rockets Series Finale

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, May 16, 2015 12:47 PM GMT

After a night off of NBA hoops on Saturday evening, we have one last semi final game to take care of. The Clippers and Rockets will meet on Sunday afternoon for Game 7, and the NBA Odds have the Rockets as +2 home dogs, with a total of 220 points. Here is a look at the spread and total. 

Spread Pick
Friday night was good to us as we cashed both of our NBA picks to put us at 32-19-2 during the NBA Playoffs. With a small spread like the one in front of us, and after the Rockets have taken back all of the momentum in the series, it makes this spread very difficult to handicap. For starters game 7's are basically toss-ups to begin with, but in this series especially, the two teams are very evenly matched.

However one big factor in this game will be the rebounding and defense. If one of these teams can come up with more boards and the most defense, they will win the game. When you look at these two teams, the one team that sparks my confidence the most to do that is the Clippers. Despite having lost the last two games, LA still holds the most firepower on both ends of the floor. While they have not played defense well in the last two games, I see the Clippers coming up with some more stops in this one, as well as a historic Blake Griffin performance.

The Clippers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games dating back to the regular season when playing as road favorites, and they are also 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against winning home teams. While the Rockets are also hot ATS, it is extremely hard to beat the same team three times in a row.

NBA Pick: Clippers -2 at Bookmaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2840448, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

Total Pick
The total for this game is almost, if not more interesting than the spread. So far throughout this series the over has cashed in every game, and after calling this exact outcome before the series starts, it has really helped pad my bankroll for the playoffs. However on Friday night, after the Warriors and Grizzlies series went under in every game, I correctly called betting the over in Game 6. Could we see another trend shift in this Game 7 on Sunday afternoon? I think that’s exactly what will happen.

So far throughout the playoffs, in games that started before 7 PM eastern time, the under is 8-4. This is nothing new either. Weekend games that are of the matinee variety almost always cash for the under on the NBA betting odds, and with this game starting at noon central time, these two teams might not be awake, even for a Game 7. They will already be trying to bear down defensively, but the afternoon start won’t help either. During the regular season, in weekend games that started before 6 PM Eastern, (3 PM Pacific) the under was 30-18-3.

Look for the series trend to be reversed Sunday, in what should be a much more defensive, and a much earlier start time than everyone is used to.

NBA Pick:  UNDER 220 at The Greek

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2840448, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]