NBA Picks Of The Day: Add These Top Plays To Your Winning Ticket

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, February 4, 2016 3:20 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 4, 2016 3:20 PM GMT

Tonight with a huge slate of 11 games in the NBA Odds, I have chosen my two top NBA picks to release free of charge. Join us inside, as we present the best plays for today's action.

Pacers vs. Nets
The Pacers head out on the road tonight to play the Nets on Brooklyn, and the NBA Odds have them as solid -7 favorites in this one, with a total of 201 points. The Nets are likely in the midst of blowing things up before the trade deadline, but tonight against the Pacers, they will still have the benefit of owning the paint with Brook Lopez.

However, outside of Lopez, who should have no problem getting his stats tonight, the rest of the Nets face pretty tough matchups, even for a home game. The Pacers have played well recently winning two of their last three games SU, and the only thing that kept them from a third cover in a row against the Cavs was overtime. Now against the Nets, who are giving up 105 points per game in their last ten games, and the Pacers seem like the best play here tonight.

On the road against the East this season, the Pacers are 8-4 ATS, and in conference games in general this season, Indiana boasts a 19-7 ATS record. Compare that to the Nets, who are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and only 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. The Pacers on the other hand are allowing only 96 points per game to Eastern Conference opponents this season, which is far below their seasonal average of 100 oppg. It makes a ton of difference who the Pacers are playing on a given night, and tonight against one of the worst teams in the league, I have no doubt that the Pacers can win and cover this game with ease.

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NBA Pick: Pacers -7
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Pistons vs. Celtics
The Celtics are coming off the back to back last night in their win and cover against the Knicks, and now they welcome in the Pistons to TD Garden, in what should be a pretty epic game of two very underrated defensive teams. The NBA Odds though have the Celtics -4 favorites, but the total is where I have my eye set on tonight. Since opening at 210 points, the total has been steadily dropping, and right now it sits at 208, with several books taking their numbers down to 207½.

This is a clear sign to me that the under is the play here tonight, but it’s not the only example of why this one could be a lower scoring game. While the Celtics have been very good on offense recently, it’s their defense that has been winning them more games. They limited the Knicks to only 89 points last night, and the Celtics are still inside the top three in Defensive Rating this season.

The Pistons aren’t too far behind in DRtg this season, and with a pace of 95.3, Detroit is going to do everything in their power to slow down the pace of this game, and keep it to more of a half court contest. This, along with the fact that the Celtics are 8-3 this season cashing the under on the second night of a back to back, and you have a recipe for the under to be a valuable wager this evening.

These two teams have cashed the under in both of their first two meetings this season, and neither of those games had totals this big like the 208 we are looking at tonight. Although the over is trending between these two teams, take the under tonight as the NBA pick, because one or both of these teams might fail to reach 100 points.  

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NBA Pick: UNDER 207.5
Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

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