NBA Picks: Take 'Under' As Clippers & Hawks Fall Short Of The Total

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, January 27, 2016 4:57 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jan. 27, 2016 4:57 PM GMT

The Clippers are not getting Blake Griffin back as soon as expected and tonight they meet the Hawks. Check inside for an insightful review and profitable NBA picks.

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Free NBA Pick: Under 207
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

There could be a lower scoring game down south than this big posted total may suggest Wednesday night when the Los Angeles Clippers (29-16, 21-21-3 ATS) wrap up a five-game road trip vs. the Eastern Conference when they pay a visit to the Atlanta Hawks (27-19, 23-22-1 ATS) at Philips Arena in Atlanta, GA at 8:05 ET in a game available on FOX Sports - Southeast.

The posted total at 5Dimes is 207 for this contest with the current NBA odds on the ‘under’ set at -107.

 

Hawks Back in First
The Hawks return home after splitting a four-game road trip vs. the Western Conference, starting the trip with a win at Portland and ending it as the winning NBA pick 119-105 at Denver Monday, with those victories sandwiched around losses at Sacramento and Phoenix.

Most expected the Hawks to regress this season after winning 60 games as the top seeds in the East last year, as evidenced by Atlanta being 33/1 on the NBA Futures before the season, and although they have fallen back some, at 27-19 they do return home leading the Southeast Division by two games over the Miami Heat.

The Clippers were more highly regarded on the NBA Futures at 10/1 despite sharing the Pacific Division with the NBA Champion Golden State Warriors, and they are indeed second in the division behind Golden State right now, albeit a distant second at 12 games back. Then again, they have been without Blake Griffin, who leads the club with his 23.2 points per game in the 30 games that he has played, for the past 14 games.

 

Now A Broken Hand For Griffin
Griffin was recovering from a partially torn quadriceps tendon and the Clippers actually expected to get him back in the lineup during the latter part of this five-game Eastern trip. Unfortunately, Griffin now has a new injury after breaking his hand in an off-court incident in Toronto, and thus will miss another four to six weeks.

The Clippers had been playing well without Griffin, but it is almost as if this latest injury had a psychological effect on the team now that his return is no longer imminent, as the Clips have scored just 94 and 91 points respectively in the two games since the Toronto incident. Luckily the 91 points last night was enough in a low scoring 91-89 win over the Pacers in Indiana to begin this back-to-back.

Still, the absence of Griffin has really been felt closer to the basket where the Clippers are now second to last in the NBA in points in the paint with just 37.1 per game and that does not figure to improve here vs. an Atlanta defense ranked eighth in the league in two-point defense at 47.3 percent, a figure that the Hawks have lowered to 39.9 percent over the last three games.

 

Still Good Defensively
The Hawks may not be as good defensively this season as they were last year when they had one of the best defenses in the NBA, which makes sense considering they lost one of the best shutdown defenders in the league in DeMarre Carroll to the Toronto Raptors in free agency, but it is not as if the Atlanta defense has fallen off the map as the Hawks are still a good ninth in the league in points against and 11th in field goal percentage allowed.

We have already mentioned the Atlanta interior defense stiffening up over the last three games and the Hawks may not have as tough a time defending the Clippers here as they normally would considering both the absence of Griffin and Los Angeles potentially having tired legs while wrapping up a five-game cross-country trip with a back-to-back.

Granted the Hawks are eighth in the league in scoring with their 102.5 points per game offensively, but if they defend the Clippers as well as we expect, we do not believe that they will score enough to push this game ‘over’ this bloated posted total of 207.

 

Trending The ‘Under’
Finally, the ‘under’ is now 5-1 in the Hawks’ last six overall and 5-0 in their last five games vs. the Pacific Division. The ‘under’ is also 5-1 in the Clippers’ last six games vs. the Eastern Conference and 7-2 in their last nine when playing the second of back-to-back games.

We expect those ‘under’ patterns to continue for at least one more game when the Los Angeles Clippers visit the Atlanta Hawks at Philips Arena on Wednesday night.

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