NBA Picks: Take Magic +5.5 To Out Run Tired Mavericks

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, March 1, 2016 4:20 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 1, 2016 4:20 PM UTC

The Magic are coming off a home victory over the 76’ers while the Mavericks have won three of their last four. Let’s review the NBA odds and determine which side to back. 

Orlando Magic (26-32 SU, 32-25 ATS)
The Magic had not only lost three of their last four games before they hosted Philadelphia on Sunday but pilfered the bankrolls of those who included Orlando in their NBA Picks in those three losses. But Sunday the Magic offense was ready to roll, and roll they did as Orlando put the hammer down early on by scoring 40 points in the first quarter alone. Philadelphia was hopelessly out of this one at the break trailing by 26 as seven Magic players scored in double digits, smashing the lowly Sixers by the score of 130-116 and easily covering the 9 ½ point impost that the NBA odds boards makers had installed. Third year man Evan Fournier became the last member of the Magic to miss a game this season as he sat out with a wrist injury.

Orlando has not been good this season but the good news if you happen to be a Magic fan is that they have not been dreadful. They notched their 26th win of the season on Sunday which is one more than they had all last season. The team currently ranks 20th in scoring, averaging 100.8 points per game while ranking 14th in rebounds (43.9/game) and points allowed (102.1/game). Swiss center Nikola Vucevic has been the pacesetter this season for Orlando leading the team in points (17.7/game) and rebounds (9.0/game). The Magic stand at 10-18 on the highway this season but a respectable 16-11 ATS in those road contests.


Dallas Mavericks (32-28 SU, 32-27-1 ATS)
A change of scenery has done former Celtic David Lee a world of good. After being bought out by Boston the former two-time All-Star was signed by Dallas and has averaged 13.5 points and 11.5 rebounds in the two games he has played in a Dallas uniform. Lee came off the bench to bucket 13 in the team’s most recent victory on Sunday over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Mavs lit it up in the opening quarter outscoring the young T-Wolves 39-24. When the final buzzer sounded Dallas rolled to a 128-101 and put smiles on all of those who backed them as 7 ½ home favorites. It was a particularly impressive win after the team could have been excused for being a bit worn out after their furious rally and overtime victory over the Nuggets just two days earlier.

Dallas is ranked 15th both in points scored (102.2/game) and points allowed (102.3./game) while ranking 17th in rebounds averaging 43 per contest. The ageless Dirk Nowitzki leads the team in points netting 17.6 per game while big man Zaza Pachulia is tops on the team in rebounds averaging 10.6 boards per contest.


Betting Analysis
Orlando treated their fans to a 110-104 victory over the Mavericks in their only meeting this season just about two weeks ago as one-point home favorites. But the venue has shifted to Dallas where the Mavericks will be itching for payback. Yet, Orlando is 4-1 ATS in their last five road contests and 9-4 against the number over the course of their last 13 games overall. Though the Magic have bowed in eight of their last 10 trips to Dallas they have cashed at a furious rate when you consider the exact opposite is true when it comes to their 8-2 ATS record in those 10 games.

Orlando often eschews defense in order to put points on the board. They are a team that likes to run and that could make those old legs of players like Dirk Nowitzki work harder than they should. Though Dallas appears to be the better team on paper we believe the matchup favors the road dogs here. Be sure to check out our top picks for tonight's game

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NBA Pick: Orlando +5 ½
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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