NBA Picks: Take Home Faves Grizzlies To Stump Over Pelicans

Swinging Johnson

Monday, January 18, 2016 3:55 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 18, 2016 3:55 PM UTC

The Pelicans come to Memphis as winners of their last two while the Grizzlies have won four of the last five. Let’s check the NBA odds to determine which side will be in our NBA picks.

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Free NBA Pick: Grizzlies -4
Best Line Offered: at BetCRIS


New Orleans Pelicans (13-26 SU, 15-24 ATS)
The Pelicans were hot off the heels of a 109-97 victory in Sacramento as 6½ point road dogs when they hosted the Charlotte Hornets on Friday night. The NBA odds makers installed them as 3 ½ point home chalk but all those who decided to back the Pelicans in their NBA picks suffered a bad beat as New Orleans hung on for a 109-107 victory and failed to cover what the oddsmakers were hanging on this one. Veteran Ryan Anderson made it rain from the outside knocking down six treys and 32 points while Anthony Davis chipped in 22 for his second consecutive game with 20 or more after sitting out a pair of games earlier in the week with back issues.

After last night’s victory, the Pelicans now have connected on at least 10 three-pointers in 14 games this season, which is as many as the club had all of last season. New Orleans is currently averaging 101.4 points per game which places them 14th in the league while allowing a dismal 105.5 points per game ranking them among the cellar dwellers in that category at 27th. Trade rumors have swirled around New Orleans as they look to replace the injured Quincy Poindexter who has been sidelined all season with a knee injury. Reports are that the team is focusing their efforts on a small forward and the Kings’ Rudy Gay appears to be the object of their affection.


Memphis Grizzlies (23-19 SU, 20-21-1 ATS)
The Grizzlies have won and covered four of their last five outings with the most recent being a 103-95 victory over the Knicks as 5½ point home favorites. Memphis trailed by two at the half before Marc Gasol took over and led the way with 37 points to the eight point victory. The 37 points Gasol scored was just one short of a career-high 38 that he dropped on the Pelicans in the teams’ last meeting on December 1st in New Orleans.

Points and rebounds have not come easy for the Grizzlies this season as they are averaging just 96.2 points per contest and 41.2 boards per game which ranks them amongst the lowest in the league. However, their defense has kept them competitive as they are ranked 6th in the league in defense surrendering only 98.7 PPG. Center Marc Gasol leads the team in points (16.4 PPG) and blocks (1.3/game) while assists leader Mike Conley remains sidelined with an Achilles injury and is doubtful for tonight’s tip-off against the Pelicans.


Betting Analysis
These Southwest division rivals have met just once this season with Memphis lowering the boom en route to a 113-104 road victory in New Orleans as one-point underdogs on December 1st. However, the last time the Pelicans traveled to the Grizzlies home court it could have been dubbed the Memphis Massacre as the Grizzlies pummeled the Pelicans to the tune of a 110-74 annihilation as five-point home favorites.

This time around we are destined to see a more competitive game because anything less would be virtually impossible. However, when you look inside the numbers, New Orleans is 1-5 against the number in their last six games against teams with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last four following a win. On the flipside, Memphis is 8-1 ATS in their last nine home affairs and 4-1 against the spread in their last five contests. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the teams’ last six meetings. We expect that trend to continue. So, for Monday's NBA picks, go with Memphis minus the points.

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