NBA Picks: Take Bucks +6 vs. Tired & Injured Pacers

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, December 31, 2015 4:40 PM GMT

The Bucks travel to Indiana in the midst of a three game tailspin while the Pacers lost a heartbreaker to the Bulls last night. Let us examine the NBA odds being offered and cash a ticket tonight in our NBA picks.

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NBA Pick: Bucks +6

Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Milwaukee Bucks (12-21 SU, 16-17 ATS)
The Bucks have dropped their last three contests with the most recent defeat coming at the hands of the Oklahoma City Thunder. The NBA odds makers installed the visiting Bucks as 13 ½ point underdogs and though they lost the game 131-123 they still kept it close enough to reward all of those punters who backed them in their NBA picks. Shooting guard Khris Middleton dropped in 36 points while center Greg Monroe and small forward Giannis Antetokounmpo had 10 rebounds apiece.

Milwaukee comes into this one having lost eight of their last 11 but covering the number in six of those 11 contests. Despite their 47 rebounds they registered against the Thunder, the Bucks are ranked dead last in that category averaging only 40.5 per game. The Bucks are now 0-4 straight up on Tuesday games and the only other day of the week they have failed to win is – wait for it – Thursday. Milwaukee is hoping to end that streak of futility tonight in Indiana.

 

Indiana Pacers (18-13 SU, 18-13 ATS)
The Pacers battled the Bulls all night long, ultimately forcing an overtime frame but with only 1.2 seconds remaining Chicago’s Jimmy Butler tipped in a Pau Gasol lob to crush any hopes Indiana had of picking up a road win over their Central division foes. When the dust settled and the celebration commenced at the United Center the scoreboard showed advantage Bulls 102-100.

Indiana played without the services of C.J. Miles (lower back) and Jordan Hill (dental work) thrusting Lavoy Allen into the starting rotation to which he delivered 10 points to go along with 12 boards in 38 minutes. The 6’11” rookie Myles Turner returned after a 22 game absence due to a broken left thumb, logging 22 minutes and scoring eight points, five boards and had three blocked shots. Point guard George Hill led the team with 20 points in the losing effort.

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Betting Analysis
These clubs have only met once this season with the Pacers dismantling the Bucks 123-86 as 4 ½ point home favorites. Milwaukee will return to the scene of the crime as they try to put a halt to their three game losing streak. The stats will tell the tale of a Bucks team that struggles mightily on the road going 3-15 straight up this season. However, if you peer a bit closer inside those numbers you will find that Milwaukee is 8-10 ATS which is still a losing bet overall but not nearly as dire as their straight up road record suggests.

The statistic that is capturing my attention is Indiana’s 2-9 ATS record when playing in the second leg of back-to-back games. Factor in the injuries that the Pacers currently have and a Milwaukee team that is still stinging from the beating they endured last time they played on the Pacers’ home court and I like the Bucks chances of hanging tough in this one.