NBA Picks: Sweep On The Making Provides Value In Warriors -6.5

Charles Stark

Saturday, June 4, 2016 1:08 PM UTC

Saturday, Jun. 4, 2016 1:08 PM UTC

NBA Odds makers have made them about the same favorite as they were in game one but can the Cavaliers find a way to steal a game on the road?

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors
NBA odds have made Golden State a -6.5 favorite like at Bookmaker -110. Although some might see fit to think that the Cavs will have a much better game two for my NBA pick I am going to stick with laying the points with the Warriors. Neither Stephen Curry nor Klay Thompson lit up the scoreboard and I expect them to score more tonight and again win this game handedly.


Cleveland Cavaliers
In game one the Cavs shot 38% from the field and 33% from distance while turning over the ball 17 times. Those turnovers led to 25 Golden State points which is really difficult to overcome. After the game head coach Tyrone Lue was happy with a lot of the looks his team got especially in the paint but they didn’t get those to drop as evident by getting out scored 54-42 in the interior. That is true but I think the Cavs are missing the main point in that the Warriors are the best defense they have seen in the playoffs.

Cleveland was able to hit the boards well out-rebounding the Warriors 56-43 and still lost by double digits because Golden State made every shot a tough one. There really wasn’t a lot of good looks because Golden State is excellent at rotating their defense and getting in the right positions to make scoring difficult on any team.  Another point the Cavs should be concerned about is their lack of ball movement with only 17 assists. Defensively they do not match up with Golden State very well, and although they held Curry and Thompson to some respectable numbers, do not expect them to be able to do that tonight.

Golden State Warriors
In game one the Warriors shot 49% from the floor and 33% from distance while only turning the ball over nine times. The turnover disparity was of course a major factor but from my perspective I thought Golden State simply looked like the better team. They even got to the line ten times less than Cleveland and still won pretty easily. The difference is the premium they put on defense when compared to the Cavs and while Cleveland is talking about they were happy about the looks they got they probably should be more focused on how to stop a team that just shot almost 50% from the floor against them.

One worrisome part for Cavs fans as well that Golden State’s main scorers didn’t really get going until the end of the game, but more importantly was they didn’t have to have monster nights to hand the Cavs a pretty telling loss. Most people will probably look for the Cavaliers to bounce back tonight but this team is not going to get into the rhythm they want against a Golden State team that takes away so much and defend the perimeter as well as anyone. The Cavs love to shoot the three but were only able to manage 21 attempts from beyond the arc. Don’t expect anything different tonight and for the Warriors to again win by double digits.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3030255, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NBA Pick: Golden State Warriors -6.5 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage 

comment here