Phoenix Suns vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
So much inconsistency to the Cavaliers' performances, but they'll still enter tonight's game as one-point favorites against Goran Dragic and the Suns.
Cleveland is 16-27 SU and 19-24 ATS on the year, while Phoenix is at 24-18 SU and a very impressive 27-14-1 ATS.
We'll start with the Suns. They lost by six at home to Washington two nights ago, making them 4-6 SU and ATS over their last 10 contests. Sprinkled in there though are a few impressive wins over Indiana, Denver and Minnesota.
The Cavaliers were also in action on Friday, except they finished on the winning side in a 93-78 victory over Milwaukee. With the win, Cleveland moved to 5-5 SU and ATS in their last 10 matchups overall.
If you look at the Cavaliers' roster, there's no way they should be 11 games under .500. They've got a lot of talent, but head coach Mike Brown just hasn't been able to find any harmony with his rotation so far. There's still time though, so we shouldn't completely count Cleveland out just yet.
As for tonight, we see this game as a total toss-up, with the Cavaliers at 12-9 ATS at home and the Suns at 14-6 ATS on the road. Cleveland's been disappointing, but they have been far better at Quicken Loans Arena.
So, instead of placing our NBA picks on the spread, we're feeling more confident in a total selection cashing tonight. It's a high number, but we still think the OVER is the way to go, with the Suns having averaged 112.8 PPG over their last five.
Pick: OVER 204.5
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Detroit Pistons vs. Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks have dropped two straight and three of their last four, yet the NBA odds still favor them by 6.5 points over the Pistons. The O/U has settled at 209.
Dallas had won three in a row, but has since gone 2-4 SU over their previous six contests, with losses to the Clippers, Trail Blazers, Raptors and Nets.
Perhaps a return home to American Airlines Center, where the Mavericks have gone 14-7 SU will be just what the doctor ordered. Dallas will be trying to make it up to the home fans after an eight-point loss to an L.A. team that was without Chris Paul.
It's not like the Pistons have been doing any better though.
Detroit, after a rough 101-103 home loss to New Orleans, has lost three games in a row. Included in there is an awful defeat to Milwaukee (101-104), so it really has been a bad week for Josh Smith and company.
What's more, the Mavericks have had Detroit's number over the past couple of years. They've won three straight in the series and have covered the spread in two of those contests. The last time they met up in Dallas, Dirk Nowitzki's crew won 92-77 and cashed as seven-point favorite. Does that spread look familiar?
Both teams aren't playing well, but we like the Mavericks' chances of righting the ship against a Pistons team that can get disinterested in a hurry. Dallas should come out hungry from the opening tipoff here, leading to a cover on their home floor.
Pick: Mavericks -6.5[gameodds]5/253658/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]