Our prop picks are off to a slow start for the Conference Finals, however after some late breaking odds came out at bet365, I am here to give you a few plays on their NBA Odds for none other than the MVP, Stephen Curry.
Stephen Curry O/U 42.5 points, rebounds, assists
Curry once again put up a magical performance, and it’s looking more and more likely that he will advance to the NBA Finals. Curry’s performance two nights ago of 34 points, six rebounds and five assists was his third 30-point performance in four games, and if we took this prop and took the over in his last four games, we would be 3-1. With no one on the Rockets to defend him, and with Dwight Howard potentially out for this game, there might not be any stopping of Curry. He should have no problem getting another 5-6 rebounds and assists in this game, so as long as he can hit that 30-point window again, I am taking the over with the Chef tonight. During the playoffs he is averaging nearly 29 points per game, with 6.6 assists and 5.2 rebounds.
NBA Free Pick: OVER 42.5 (-115)
Stephen Curry O/U 7.5 assists
Because Curry has to carry his team on offense, his assist numbers fluctuate more than most point guards. During the playoffs, on nights where Curry has scored 30 points or more, he is averaging over seven assists per game, but on the five nights he has failed to score 30 points this postseason, his assist numbers drop to six per game. However since the end of the series against the Pelicans, Curry’s assist numbers have started to drop a little more. His scoring has stayed pretty much the same, but he has only gone over 7.5 assists only one time in the last seven-playoff games. If he is going to continue to have to take the most of the shots for his team, it’s only logical to believe that his assist numbers might go down because of it. Since the start of the second round series against the Grizzlies, Curry has averaged 6.3 assists per game.
NBA Free Pick: UNDER 7.5 assists (-140)
Stephen Curry O/U 28.5 points
Curry has gone over the 28 point mark six times this postseason in 11 games, and in three of his last four games overall. Against the Rockets during the regular season, he only went over that margin once, however he still shot very well against Houston in those four games, shooting nearly 58% in the four game series. He continued that in Game 1, and I expect him to continue to shoot well and go over for his points prop tonight. One of the reasons he didn’t have a huge regular season against the Rockets was the presence of Patrick Beverley in a few of those games. Beverley’s defensive presence probably limited Curry’s ability to get shots off at times, but as we saw in Game 1, Jason Terry is putting up no such resistance. I see Curry going over for this one again, so it will be one of my NBA picks.
NBA Free Pick: OVER 28.5 points (-110)