NBA Picks: Spurs vs. Warriors

Joe Freda

Tuesday, April 16, 2013 6:00 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 16, 2013 6:00 PM GMT

Free NBA picks for today's matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the Golden State Warriors. What have the NBA odds makers laid out for us, and where are we looking to place our sports picks?

The San Antonio Spurs have seen the UNDER cash at 6-2 in their last eight games, held to 92.6 PPG in that stretch. Gregg Popovich’s crew heads north on no rest for Monday’s matchup with the Golden State Warriors, who play their final home date of the season.

Will the UNDER trend continue for the Spurs here or is it time to bet the other way? Which squad’s ‘total’ trend looks best to back?

Spurs, Duncan edged out in L.A.

San Antonio picked up its third loss in five games with Sunday’s 91-86 defeat to the Los Angeles Lakers, upset as a 3 ½-point road favorite. The Spurs were outrebounded by a 58-46 margin, while held to a 37.1 percent night from the floor.

Spurs forward Tim Duncan notched team-highs of 23 points and 10 boards, while uniting with center Tiago Splitter for three blocks each. San Antonio’s Tony Parker came away with eight of his side’s 25 assists, hitting just 1-of-10 field buckets.

The tight affair’s combined 177 points plunged below the ‘total’ of 196, cashing the UNDER for my followers.  San Antonio outscored the Lakers in paint points, 44-32, while edging out Los Angeles in fast break scoring, 19-7.

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Warriors, Curry outgunned by Lakers

Golden State also suffered its latest defeat at the hands of the Lakers, logging Friday’s 118-116 setback as a seven-point road dog. The Warriors saw a late nine-point lead erased, allowing a 20-9 run from Los Angeles in the final six minutes of action. 

Warriors guard Stephen Curry piled in 47 points, knocking down 9-of-15 shots from three-point land. Golden State’s Klay Thompson united with Curry for 16 assists and five steals, while finishing with 25 points.

The duel’s combined 234 points leaped above the ‘total’ of 208 ½, moving the OVER to 3-2 in the Warriors’ last five games. Golden State allowed the Lakers to connect from the field at 51.5 percent, including a 12-for-25 clip beyond the arc.

[gameodds]5/224843/43/us[/gameodds]

Back the UNDER in Oakland

The NBA odds makers at BetOnline.ag opened San Antonio as a one-point road favorite, while first listing the ‘total’ at 203. Both squads finish their regular season on Wednesday, with Golden State traveling to Portland and San Antonio hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves.

I am backing the UNDER with my sports picks here, staying on the low-octane train as with Sunday’s cashed ticket in Los Angeles. The Spurs find themselves in another spot of going through late-season motions, while Golden State has held visitors under the century mark in four of its last five home dates.

Sunday’s defeat for San Antonio moved the UNDER to 10-1-1 in the team’s last 12 road games and a 5-1 mark in its last six matchups with Western Conference foes. The Spurs have also had the UNDER cash at 4-0 in their last four spots played on no rest, held to 87 PPG in that span’s most recent three duels.

Golden State is capable of putting up their share of scoring, but has seen the UNDER collect at 3-0-1 in its last four meetings with the Spurs. The Warriors were held to 41.5 percent shooting in February’s 107-101 overtime victory  as 3 ½-point home dogs against the Spurs, with both squads combining for just 186 points in regulation time. 

Look for the UNDER to get the money again here, adding to a 5-2 mark for the wager in Golden State’s last seven spots that followed a defeat.

Free NBA Pick:  UNDER 203 at BetOnline.ag

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