Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 6 of this semifinal series at Oracle Arena, with the opening tip scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET.
Also check out my NBA Picks: Pacers vs. Knicks Game 5
In a good spot
San Antonio owns a 3-2 lead in this best-of-seven series, as it came away with an impressive 109-91 victory over Golden State as seven-point home favorites Tuesday, while going OVER the betting total of 195.
The Spurs have won 11 of 12 best-of-seven series when leading 3-2, but they’ve gone 0-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) when playing the sixth game of a playoff series the last two-plus seasons.
Golden State is certainly a playable option for your sports picks tonight, considering they have compiled a 4-0 record after suffering a defeat during the 2013 NBA playoffs.
The Warriors are 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 or more points, with the OVER going 6-3 in that situation.
There’s no question that point guard Stephen Curry needs to move past his left ankle injury if the Warriors intend to extend this series to a Game 7, as they’ve gone 6-1 when he scores 20 or more points in the postseason, while dropping all four when failing to hit that mark.
Curry and shooting guard Klay Thompson were held to 13 combined points Tuesday, but the youthful backcourt is still managing to average 39.1 points through 11 playoff games.
Adjustments have been made
Gregg Popovich deserves a lot of credit if the Spurs advance past the Warriors, as the longtime coach has assigned Danny Green and Kawhi Leonard to stop Curry and Thompson from going off behind the 3-point line.
San Antonio has held Golden State to under 40 percent from beyond the arc in three consecutive games—leading to a victory in two of those contests.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Spurs as one of their NBA picks Thursday, as they’ve won 22 of their 33 games as road favorites dating back to the start of the regular season.
NBA Pick: San Antonio Spurs -1