NBA Picks: Spurs vs Warriors Game 4 Betting Preview

Warriors vs Spurs

Sunday, May 21, 2017 5:20 PM GMT

Golden State aims for their third straight series sweep this postseason on Monday night (9 p.m. ET) as they square off against the Spurs in San Antonio in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals and the Oddsmakers like their chances.

Golden State and Cleveland, each undefeated in the postseason, appear destined to matchup for a NBA playoff record third straight time in the Finals. The Warriors trounced the Kawhi Leanord-less Spurs 120-108 on Saturday night to take a commanding 3-0 series lead. Trailing by four points following the first quarter, Golden State outscored San Antonio by 13 headed into the half, and never looked back. Opponents have outscored the Warriors just four times in a half this postseason.

Kevin Durant led the Dubs with 33 points, 10 assists, and 4 rebounds, dropping three of five from behind the arc. The team was 11-for-27 from the 3-point area, shooting .407 percent. For the year, the Golden State is 51-0 SU and 34-14-3 ATS (71 percent) when draining 37 percent or higher from downtown.

Dating back to last year, the Warriors have won their last 14 straight playoff games against Western Conference opponents. Nine of the victories have been by double digits. Golden State boasts a 10-4 ATS record in this stretch, beating a -9.0 average line by 5.7 points per game.

The Spurs starting unit is just overmatched offensively. Outside of Leonard’s pre-injury heroics in Game 1, just four first-teamers have recorded an Offensive Rating greater than 100: Danny Green (105) in the opener, Jonathon Simmons (129) in Game 2, and Kyle Anderson (163) and LaMarcus Aldridge (106) last time out. This metric measures the amount of points produced or scored per 100 possessions. To put San Antonio’s numbers into perspective, Klay Thompson, having a quiet series by his standards, is the only Warrior starter that has failed to record a 100 or higher in each game.

Chances are Spurs fans will not see their MVP candidate Leonard suit up in Game 4. It’s a reoccurring left ankle injury, which he tweaked in the Rockets series. This suggests a lengthy recovery period to get fit. Head coach Gregg Popovich will toss in the towel and not risk further damage to his superstar. For what it’s worth, oddsmakers give San Antonio +150000 odds to come back and win the series.

Since 2014, the Warriors are 8-0 SU and ATS as road favorites of higher than 5 points. The spread for Monday night is -11.5 as of publication, but expect it to reach higher again with Leonard doubtful. Lay the points. When a team loses their leading scorer, who doubles as arguably the best defender in the NBA, all is lost. Warriors advance in style.