NBA Picks: Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, March 12, 2013 11:59 AM GMT

Tuesday, Mar. 12, 2013 11:59 AM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the betting line for this Western Conference affair between the San Antonio Spurs and the Minnesota Timberwolves. Where should bettors look for the best value for their NBA picks.


The Minnesota Timberwolves have really struggled on the offensive end over their last seven games, as they prepare to face the San Antonio Spurs for a third time during the 2012-13 NBA season.

Huge win

San Antonio pushed its lead to two games in the Western Conference standings Monday night, as it captured an impressive 105-93 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder as 2.5-point home favorites, while going UNDER the total for the third time in four contests.

The Spurs are 23-12 straight up (SU) and 21-14 against the spread (ATS) in March the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 24-11 in that situation.

Can’t buy me Love

Minnesota has dropped 25 of 31 games since forward Kevin Love broke his hand for a second time, as it looks to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 100-77 setback to the Dallas Mavericks as seven-point home underdogs Sunday.

The Timberwolves are 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record during the second half of the season, with the UNDER going 6-3 in those nine affairs.

Bad spot for the Spurs?

NBA handicappers may want to take a long look at the Timberwolves at this particular number in the betting market, with this being the Spurs only trip away from the AT&T Center in a span of 11 games.

I’ve focused in on the total, as the UNDER is 4-0 in San Antonio’s last four games when closing out a back-to-back situation as road favorites.

Minnesota isn’t a huge threat in capturing a SU victory in this spot, as it has dropped all 18 games as home underdogs of 6.5 to 12 points the last two-plus seasons, but the UNDER is 2-0 in that situation during the 2012-13 campaign.

Parker would love to suit up

Spurs point guard Tony Parker would love to get on the court in this affair, as he’s led the squad in scoring in the first two meetings in this series—combining to score 51 points.

San Antonio is 6-2 overall without his services this season, including a 3-1 mark in the last four contests.

[gameodds]5/221145/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks, as the UNDER is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in this series. 

Minnesota has failed to hit the century mark in scoring in its last eight games, while San Antonio holds opponents to 43.9 percent shooting.

NBA Pick:  Under 195 at 5Dimes

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