NBA Picks: Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds Analysis

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, April 10, 2013 11:43 AM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 10, 2013 11:43 AM GMT

The underdog has enjoyed great against-the-spread success in the series featuring the Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs, as these two teams prepare to face off Wednesday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting odds for this Western Conference matchup at the Pepsi Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Take a look at our predictions for the First Round Playoff Matchups.

Slimmest of margins

San Antonio holds a half-game advantage over the Oklahoma City Thunder for the No. 1 seed out West, as it comes off a 99-97 victory over the Atlanta Hawks as 10.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the total for the first time in five contests.

The Spurs are 23-11 straight up (SU) and 20-12-2 against the spread (ATS) in April the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 22-12 in that situation.

Streaking again

Denver has won four games in a row, including a 132-114 blowout victory over the Houston Rockets as six-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the posted total of 210.5.

The Nuggets established a new season-high in points in that particular affair, while improving to 24-6 SU and 20-10 ATS during the second half of the season.

Three or more days rest

NBA handicappers need to be aware that the Spurs are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS when playing on three or more days rest during the 2012-13 NBA campaign, while the Nuggets are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS in the same situation.

It’s important to point out that San Antonio has fallen short of the betting total in four of those five games when looking over the pro basketball odds page.

The air up there

There’s no question that Denver enjoys one of the better home-court advantages in the league, as it has compiled a 35-3 overall record at the Pepsi Center, which includes a tremendous 22-1 mark versus conference rivals.

The Nuggets have won 20-straight games in front of their home fans, while going 3-0 SUATS as favorites of three points or less at this facility.

[gameodds]5/224440/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Spurs as one of their NBA picks Wednesday, as the road team is on a 15-3 ATS run in this series, while the Nuggets are 5-8 ATS at home when the total is between 200 and 204.5 this season.

NBA Pick:  San Antonio Spurs +3.5 at Sports Interaction

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