NBA Picks: Spurs vs. Mavericks Game 3

Jeff Grant

Thursday, April 24, 2014 2:32 PM GMT

Thursday, Apr. 24, 2014 2:32 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting lines for Game 3 between the Mavericks and the Spurs in this Western Conference matchup, with the opening tip scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

Time to Start a New Streak

San Antonio had its 10-game winning streak against Dallas snapped Wednesday, as it dropped a 113-92 decision as 7.5-point home favorites, while going 'over' the betting total of 205.

The Spurs have been getting solid production from Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker on the offensive end, but the rest of the roster is shooting 33 percent in the series.

It’s important to point out that the squad went 30-11 SU on the road during the regular season, including a 18-8 mark versus conference opponents.

 

Getting Out in Transition
Dallas benefited a great deal from San Antonio’s sloppy play to even the series at a game a piece, as it scored a season-high 33 points off of turnovers in Game 2.

The Mavericks managed to put up 28 more field goal attempts than the Spurs in the victory, as they created 24 turnovers and won the rebounding battle by three boards.

NBA handicappers will find that the franchise compiled a 26-15 SU record at home since the start of the 2013-14 campaign.

 

Still the Betting Favorite
The Spurs are going to receive a majority of the betting action in this affair, considering they entered the playoffs with the NBA’s best road record, while also pacing the league with a 8.0 point differential average.

San Antonio was one of three teams (Los Angeles Clippers, Oklahoma City Thunder) in the league to rank in the top 10 in offensive and defensive efficiency—garnering a 108.3 and 100.1 rating respectively.

 

Nowitzki 
Mavericks star forward Dirk Nowitzki averaged 18.5 points and 5.8 rebounds in four-regular-season meetings against the Spurs, but he’s managed to score just 27 points in the first two games of this series.

Dallas is clearly trying to be more balanced offensively in the early going, especially since it won 15 of 18 games when having at least six players score in double figures.

[gameodds]5/264182/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Spurs as one of their NBA playoff picks, as they didn’t lose back-to-back games in last year’s postseason until the final two games against the Miami Heat in the finals.

NBA Pick: San Antonio Spurs -2.5

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