The series shifts to LA tonight, and the NBA Odds favor the road Spurs at -5, but I’m more focused on the total which sits at 187 ½.
The total has been traveling in the wrong direction in my opinion, and after cashing the over in Game 2, I think we are due for another in LA. The Lakers should get a boost on offense while the Spurs will undoubtedly still be able to score on the soft LA defense. I actually think this is going to be the highest scoring game of the series. The Lakers will give their best effort tonight.
The Spurs were definitely not a great road defensive team during the regular season, and although they are playing really good defense so far in the playoffs, I think the Lakers’ offense will get a boost tonight. This is the same team that averaged about 102 points per game at home this season.
I do think this game will be a lot closer than the first two. That will also lead to a higher scoring game. LA should be playing hard on both ends of the floor, but this game could very easily go into the 200s tonight. The Spurs were one of the best road scoring teams in the NBA during the regular season, and although they have slipped up on the road before, it just appears as if they are dominating the Lakers and not letting LA take advantage of their weaknesses. Make sure you hit the number before the line goes back up. We could see a strong surge of sports picks on the 'Over' later in the day which could push the line back towards where it opened, which was closer to 190 points.
My NBA Pick: OVER 187 ½ at 5Dimes