NBA Picks: Spurs vs. Knicks

Joe Freda

Thursday, January 3, 2013 3:57 PM GMT

There are only two games on the black board tonight. We should analyze this match-up between the Spurs and The Knicks down to a 'T'...since we have the extra time on our hands to pick apart the odds.

NBA Thursday: Spurs finish back-to-back vs. Knicks

The San Antonio Spurs have notched a 5-1 spread record in their last six contests, piling in 113.8 PPG. Gregg Popovich’s club plays the second night of a back-to-back spot with Thursday’s matchup against the New York Knicks, who are 1-5 ATS in their last six home dates. Will the Spurs stay hot here or will the betting trends shift gears?

Spurs, Duncan hold off Bucks

San Antonio held on for its seventh straight win in Wednesday’s 117-110 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks, cashing as a 5 ½-point road favorite. The Spurs knocked down 51.7 percent of their field buckets, leading by as many as 23 points.

Spurs forward Tim Duncan notched 28 points and 13 boards, while adding his squad’s sole three blocks. San Antonio’s Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili logged two steals each en route to a combined 39 points and 17 assists.

The duel’s 227 points leaped above the ‘total’ of 203, moving the OVER to 2-1 in the Spurs’ last three road games. San Antonio edged out the Bucks in paint points, 52-48, while being outrebounded, 47-40.

Knicks, Anthony outgunned at home

New York logged a second straight loss in Tuesday’s 105-100 setback as 9 ½-point home ‘chalk’ against the Portland Trail Blazers. The Knicks trailed by as many as 19 points, allowing Portland to connect at a 50.6 percent clip from the floor.

Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony put up 45 points, equaling his season-high of scoring. New York’s J.R. Smith logged team-highs of 11 boards and five assists, while finishing with 28 points off the bench.

The battle’s combined 205 points jumped above the ‘total’ of 196 points, lifting the OVER to 8-3 in the Knicks’ last 11 home dates. New York’s Jason Kidd was held scoreless in 33 minutes of action, while his mates hit 18-of-24 free throws.

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[gameodds]5/133573/19-169-999996-1096-349/us[/gameodds]

Back the Knicks at MSG

Bookmaker.eu opened New York as a one-point home favorite, with early wagers on San Antonio shifting the Spurs to be one-point ‘chalk.’  The ‘total’ was first listed at 206 ½, while betting action on the OVER lifted the digits a ‘hook’ to 207.

I am adding a ticket on New York in my NBA picks for Thursday’s short card. The Knicks catch San Antonio playing its fourth game in five days, while getting to take the MSG’s floor at a low premium.

New York has shot 44.9 percent at home, while piling in 103.9 PPG. The home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these foes, including a 3-1 spread record in the last four matchups hosted by the Knicks.

San Antonio has not visited New York in nearly two years, losing to the Knicks, 128-115, on that occasion. The Spurs logged 16 turnovers and could be in for another loose outing here, with the Knicks reeling from a two-game losing streak.

Look for New York to end its skid with a cashed ticket in this spot, pulling away from Duncan and Co. in the second half.

Free NBA Picks: New York Knicks at 5Dimes