NBA Picks: Spurs vs. Heat Game 7 Odds & Predictions

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, June 19, 2013 1:53 PM GMT

The Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs have alternated wins in the first six games of their best-of-seven series, which will come to its conclusion Thursday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting odds for Game 7 of the 2013 NBA Finals at AmericanAirlines Arena, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

Let one slip away

San Antonio was unable to hold onto a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter Tuesday night, as it suffered a 103-100 overtime defeat to Miami as 6.5-point road underdogs, while going OVER the betting total for a fourth consecutive contest.

The Spurs are 4-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) when tied in a series during the 2013 NBA playoffs, with the OVER going 3-1 in that situation.

Fortunate

Miami is still alive in trying to win back-to-back championships, with forward LeBron James leading the way, as he finished with 32 points, 10 rebounds and 11 assists last time out. 

The four-time NBA MVP entered Tuesday night averaging 31.5 points in elimination games over the course of his career—the highest mark by a player in league history. 

Betting trends collide 

NBA handicappers are certainly aware that the Heat haven’t won back-to-back games since May 15-22, which has resulted in their 0-8 ATS record in their last eight contests following a SU victory. 

The Spurs have covered the number in their last five opportunities following a defeat, with the OVER enjoying a 7-2 run in that situation. 

Ginobili and Wade

In my opinion, there’s no doubt that Game 6 was one of the best in NBA Finals history, but two key players didn’t perform at a very high level. 

The Spurs got a major performance out of Manu Ginobili to take a 3-2 lead in this series after Game 5, but they were outscored by 21 points when he was on the floor Tuesday.

Miami has played some of its best basketball with star shooting guard Dwyane Wade on the bench, who continues to fight through a knee injury that may have worsened last night.

[gameodds]5/238037/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Spurs in the first half as their NBA picks Thursday, as the road team is 3-0 ATS in the opening 24 minutes when trying to capture a championship in Game 7 since 1994. 

NBA Pick:  San Antonio Spurs +3 First Half