NBA Picks: Spurs vs. Heat Game 4

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, June 11, 2014 2:24 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jun. 11, 2014 2:24 PM GMT

Not many would have predicted a blowout win of that nature for the Spurs in Game 3. They're re-gained control of the series, but you know the Heat are going to come out with a renewed focus in Game 4 at home. What's the right play?

Odds Overview
Widely expected to bounce back with a much better showing in Game 4, the Heat are favored by five points at the top NBA betting sites. The O/U is listed at either 197.5 or 198.

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San Antonio Spurs
What an incredible offensive display the Spurs put on for viewers in Game 3.

They simply couldn't miss in the first half and ended up shooting 59.4 percent overall, while going 9-of-20 (45.0 percent) from three and 26-of-32 (81.2 percent) from the charity stripe. San Antonio hit 19 of their first 21 shots and held a 25-point lead at one point in the second quarter.

The Spurs never looked back. They withstood several attempts from Miami to get back in the game, but San Antonio continued to execute on their way to a huge 111-92 win.

Kawhi Leonard was hot early and his aggressiveness offensively was crucial to the Spurs' win. He connected on 10-of-13 shots for 29 points and added four rebounds, two assists, two steals and two blocks in just over 39 minutes. Tony Parker, Tim Duncan, Danny Green and Manu Ginobili also scored in double figures.

It was the absolute perfect response from Gregg Popovich's team after a disappointing loss in Game 2. Leonard and Green were the X factors on Tuesday – will it be someone else that steps up their game on Thursday? 

 

Miami Heat
That's not the kind of defensive intensity you can afford to showcase if you want to win your third straight NBA title.

It was ugly right from the start. San Antonio was getting anything and everything they wanted offensively and Miami had no answers. The Heat tried desperately to put some stops together in order to get back in the game, but their late run fizzled out after some turnovers and bad decision making.

Miami was scoring at a high clip themselves, shooting 51.6 percent overall and 47.6 percent (10-of-21) from beyond the arc. They held their own in the paint, but poor defensive play and uncharacteristically sloppy play (20 turnovers) were their downfall.

LeBron James had 22 points, seven assists, five rebounds and five steals, but he had seven turnovers and wasn't nearly as aggressive as he was in Game 2. Dwyane Wade ended up with 22 points on 8-of-12 shooting but also made too many mental mistakes (five turnovers).

Moreover, the Heat are really going to have to get Chris Bosh going if they want a chance in this series. He may have hit all four of his shots, but he only had nine total points and three rebounds in the loss. Mario Chalmers, who had more turnovers (three) than points (two), will also have to play much better going forward. 

 

Game 4 Pick
Let's be real here. It's highly unlikely the Spurs will be that incredibly efficient offensively once again.

You have to figure Miami will step it up a gear defensively and it's not like they were having trouble scoring the ball in Game 3. They've had plenty of success in that regard so far in the Finals.

We had an inkling San Antonio would win one of these games in South Beach, only we thought it would come in Game 4.

After getting drubbed two nights ago, we reckon the Heat will get back on track and be much better, especially on the defensive end, on their way to a victory. Look for the series to get tied up once again.

NBA Pick: Heat -5

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