NBA Picks: Spurs vs. Grizzlies Game 3

Jeff Grant

Thursday, May 23, 2013 11:55 AM GMT

The Memphis Grizzlies have dropped the first two games of their best-of-seven series against the San Antonio Spurs, but they land in a great situational spot Saturday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 3 of the Western Conference finals at FedExForum, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

What are our predictions for the outcome of the Western Conference Finals series?

2-0 lead 

San Antonio has captured the first two games of this series, including a 93-89 overtime victory over Memphis as 5.5-point home favorites Tuesday, while both contests have gone OVER the betting total. 

The Spurs are 12-4 straight up (SU) and 9-7 against the spread (ATS) when leading in a playoff series the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 10-6 in that situation. 

Home sweet home 

Memphis was unable to steal home-court advantage from San Antonio at the AT&T Center, but it did manage to win the rebounding battle in the first two games, which has been a key statistic for the team all season. 

The Grizzlies have won 19 of their last 20 home games since Feb. 8, but it’s still important to note that the Spurs have covered the number in seven of the last 10 overall meetings in this rivalry. 

Parker 

Tony Parker scored 15 points and finished with a career playoff-high 18 assists in Game 2—numbers that are a bit surprising due to being hampered by a bruised left calf during the 2013 NBA playoffs. 

He’s expected to have an MRI Thursday, but he should be in good shape in Game 3 due to having three days off in-between contests. 

Parker is averaging a team-high 21.6 points and 7.6 assists in the postseason—ranking eighth and fourth respectively in those two categories among all NBA players. 

Game 3 trend 

NBA handicappers will find that the Grizzlies have enjoyed great success in the third game of a playoff series the last two-plus seasons, as they’ve covered all five of their opportunities in that situation. 

Total players will find that all five of those games went UNDER the betting total—something that can’t be ignored when looking over the pro basketball lines over the weekend.

[gameodds]5/236520/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Grizzlies with their NBA picks Saturday, as they’ve gone 6-0 ATS at home after suffering two or more consecutive losses since the start of the regular season.

NBA Pick:  Memphis Grizzlies -5 at Bet365